Free NCAA Pick: Michigan State vs. Iowa Odds
Looking for Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Spartans taking on the Hawkeyes on Saturday, September 30th at the Kinnick Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Michigan State Iowa matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(2-2) Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Kinnick Stadium
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Michigan State +11.5 | Iowa -11.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Michigan State +348 | Iowa -470
College Football Betting Total: O/U 36.5
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The previous three head-head to matchups have gone in favor of Michigan State with a record of 2-1.
Michigan State and Iowa did not play last season. The over/under record in these games was 1-2 with the teams averaging 40 points per game combined.
Michigan State went 2-1 vs. the spread.
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Michigan State Spartans
The Spartans’ most recent game came against Maryland, leading to a 31-9 loss. Michigan State trailed by -11 at the half vs. the Terrapins.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Iowa, the Spartans have been favored in two games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 1-2.
So far in this season, Michigan State has posted an over/under record of 0-3. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 46.2 points, with the typical over/under line set at 51.2 points.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
On offense, Michigan State comes into the game averaging 23, which is 65th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 266 passing yards (43rd) compared to 101st in rushing yards.
For the season, they are averaging 127 rushing attempts per contest.
The Spartans defense comes into the game with 10 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 23.2 points per game (64th).
When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 115th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 243.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, Michigan State’s run defense comes in allowing 128.5 rushing yards per contest.
Offensively, the Spartans went 5/13 on 3rd down vs. Maryland and finished with 376 yards of offense. In the passing game, they had one touchdown and 274 yards.
The Spartans did not score on any of their 31 rushing attempts and ended with 102 rushing yards.
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa will be looking to rebound from a 31-0 loss to Penn State. Heading into the fourth quarter, Iowa trailed by a score of 21-0.
Against the spread, Iowa has gone 2-2 this season. The Hawkeyes have been favored one time compared to three games as the underdog.
So far this season, the average over/under line for Iowa’s games has been 40.1 points. The Hawkeyes have an over/under record of 1-3 heading into this week’s game.
Iowa Hawkeyes Stats
Iowa’s offense has put up an average of 21.2 points per game, placing them 72nd in the NCAA rankings.
Through the air, they’ve gained 127 passing yards on average, ranking 117th in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 95th position in rushing yards, with 125 rushing attempts per game this season.
Offensively, the Hawkeyes, didn’t score vs. Penn State. Overall, they threw for 56 yards on 16 attempts. In the running game, they averaged 1.2 yards per attempt for a total of 20 yards.
The Hawkeyes defense heads into this week’s matchup with three sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 17 points per game (40th). In the pass defense department, they’re 39th nationally, giving up 180 passing yards per game.
Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Iowa’s defense is allowing 133.8 rushing yards per contest.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Spartans are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Hawkeyes are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Spartans are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Hawkeyes have gone 7-2-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Spartans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Hawkeyes’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Michigan State vs. Iowa Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | +280 | +348 | +10 | +11.5 |
| Hawkeyes | -360 | -470 | -10 | -11.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Michigan State +11.5
Michigan State are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Iowa, and we also need to point out turnovers in the passing game have been a concern for Iowa this season.
In this away underdog scenario, I like Michigan State to cover the spread at +11.5.
Did you know the total has gone OVER in 6 of Michigan State’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Iowa.
My model has this one at 39 points total, so play the OVER 36.5.
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Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Back in Black. #Hawkeyes pic.twitter.com/QttIwFSWVH
— Hawkeye Football (@HawkeyeFootball) September 26, 2023
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