Free Prediction: Tigers vs. Nittany Lions Odds
Looking for Memphis Tigers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free picks? Goodyear Cotton Bowl betting sees the Tigers taking on the Nittany Lions Saturday, December 28th at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Memphis Penn State Goodyear Cotton Bowl free pick.
College Football Handicapping: 2019 Goodyear Cotton Bowl
(12-1) Memphis Tigers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2)
Date: Saturday, December 28th, 2019
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
NCAA Football Spread: Penn State -6.5
NCAA Betting Total: 60.5
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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This years’ Goodyear Cotton Bowl will see the Memphis Tigers take on the Penn State Nittany Lions. This will be a battle between the American Athletic Conference and the Big Ten.
Memphis was selected to this bowl game because they were the highest ranking Group of 5 school. This is their chance to play the big boys, just like UCF did a few years ago when they beat Auburn.
This will be the first ever meeting between these two schools.
Memphis Tigers
The Tigers capped off the AAC title game by defeating the Cincinnati Bearcats in back to back weeks. Memphis won this game 29-24.
This Memphis offense has been the backbone of the team this season. They average 480.7 total yards per game, which ranks 10th in the country.
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Passing the ball has been more their strength as they average 284.5 yards per game, the 26th best passing offense in FBS. However, their rushing offense is also very solid, averaging 196.2 yards per game and ranking 34th.
Scoring has been no problem for Memphis this year. They average 40.5 point per game, the 8th best scoring offense in the country. Granted in this game they will be going up against a much tougher defense, but still they have been able to put up points in a hurry, which certainly helps their chances.
The defense for this Tigers does have some holes that could be concerning. They are not great at defending the run, allowing 171.6 yards per game. They also allow an average of 200.7 yards through the air.
Penn State has a much better offense than most of the teams Memphis have played and the Tigers were giving up quite a lot of points to those lesser foes. That said, the Tigers will likely need to hold the Nittany Lions below 30 if they want a chance to pull the upset.
Penn State Nittany Lions
The Nittany Lions had a solid season, losing only to Ohio State and Minnesota. Both of these losses came to good teams so obviously the Nittany Lions have been battle tested.
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Motivation always plays a role in these bowl game, but Penn State did not play in the Big Ten championship, so they will likely be ready to go for their final game of 2019.
Now the offense for this team is not the best when it comes to production. They are only averaging 403.7 total yards per game. This ranks 64th in the country. They do have a top 50 rushing attack, something the Tigers are not great at stopping.
Defense has been the strength for the Nittany Lions, ranking 22nd in total yards allowed. They are best against the run and have the 5th best run defense. However, their passing defense has been the weakness for Penn State which plays right into the Tigers’ game-plan.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 10-2 in MEM last 12 games as an underdog.
- Over is 12-4 in MEM last 16 non-conference games.
- Over is 7-3 in MEM last 10 games overall.
- Over is 8-1 in PSU last 9 non-conference games.
Goodyear Cotton Bowl NCAA Football Pick
I do believe the Nittany Lions are the better team and they will win this game.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: OVER 60.5
Memphis’ defense has been shaky at times so I do believe Penn State is going to score quite a lot here. On the other side, the Tigers’ offense is one of the highest scoring teams in the country and I do not see even a good Nittany Lions’ defense slowing them down.
All that being said leads me to believe that the over is the way to approach this game.
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