Free Week 8 Prediction: Tigers vs Midshipmen Odds
Looking for Memphis Tigers vs. Navy Midshipmen free picks? Week 8 College football betting sees the Tigers taking on the Midshipmen Saturday October 22nd at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(5-1) Memphis Tigers vs. Navy Midshipmen (4-1)
Date: Saturday, October 22nd
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD
NCAA Football Spread: Memphis -2.0
NCAA Betting Total: 56.0
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A crucial conference matchup for two AAC hopefuls features two teams that expected big declines after losing important players from last season’s teams.
Instead, both teams have bounced right back this season and are feeling good about their teams entering this matchup.
It was largely unknown how the Tigers would perform this season after their quarterback Paxton Lynch was drafted into the NFL.
But, Riley Ferguson has stepped in for Lynch and led the Tigers to a 5-1 start.
Ferguson has completed 65.5 percent of his passes and owns a 12 to 6 touchdown to interception rate.
However, the Tigers have been winning with defense. They are allowing just 19 points per game and that includes 48 they gave up on the road at Ole Miss when Ferguson threw 3 of his 6 2016 interceptions.
So, the defense was put into a bunch of tough spots in that game and were facing one of the better passers in the nation in Chad Kelly.
The Tigers will face a different test than Ole Miss in Navy though. Navy of course runs an option offense and wears opposing defenses down by running an average of more than 50 times per game.
The Tigers struggled mightily with the Navy attack last season and allowed 374 rushing yards at home for their first loss of the season.
While Ferguson has played well and the defense has exceeded expectations, this will be a tough test on the road against Navy who knocked off number 6 Houston two weeks ago.
Despite losing the all time NCAA leading scorer in Keenan Reynolds from last season, Navy has responded with another great start including a huge upset over Houston two weeks ago.
The Midshipmen are coming off an off week last week and now are in the top 25. This conference game could be important in Navy getting a potential spot in the AAC Championship game.
As always, Navy will rely on their rushing attack that is averaging 5.1 yards per carry as a team with 14 different players recording a carry this season.
The Midshipmen’s lone loss this season was at Air Force who runs a similar offense to them and likely had few issues game-planning with their defense.
However, Navy dominated then 13th ranked Memphis last season to hand them their first loss. They will be a home underdog despite being ranked inside the top 25 and having knocked off the number 6 team in the country two weeks ago.
The defense of Navy will look to slow down the Tigers who have won their first two conference games and have scored 24 points or more in every game this season.
Navy should take it personally that their a home underdog in this game but riding their talent and game plan rather than emotion should be enough for them to knock off the Tigers.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
• Navy is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Navy is 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games.
• Over is 7-1 in Navy’s last 8 games on field turf.
• Navy is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog since 2009.
Free Week 8 NCAA Football Prediction
I think Navy is getting very little respect at home and Memphis has padded their win total with wins over some very poor teams.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Navy +2.0
I don’t think this Memphis defense is built to withstand a full game of the Navy rushing attack. I like the first half to start low scoring with the full game going over the total.
Week 8 Free Score Prediction: Navy 34 – Memphis 30
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