Free Week 6 Prediction: Minutemen vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for Massachusetts Minutemen vs. FIU Panthers free picks? Week 6 betting sees the Minutemen taking on the Panthers on Saturday, October 5th at Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Massachusetts FIU Week 6 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 6
(1-4) Massachussets Minutemen vs. FIU Panthers (1-3)
Date: Saturday, October 5th 2019
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, Florida
NCAA Football Spread: FIU -26.5
NCAA Betting Total: 67.5
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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UMass is coming off its first win of the season. Just look at that spread though, another is not expected.
FIU wsa supposed to be a contender in Conference USA. They have not played well this season.
It is hard to get excited about a home favourite with the kind of results the Panthers have been posting this season.
Massachusetts Minutemen
UMass may have got its first win last week but don’t forget this is a team that lost to Rutgers at home by 27 points. The same Rutgers team that just fired its coach.
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Then they followed that up with a home loss to FCS Southern Illinois by 25. I am not going to run through every result in detail but just understand the Minutemen are not good, maybe the worst FBS team this season.
UMass can score a little but their defense is terrible. Maybe they can stay in this one by putting a couple of scores on the board down in Miami, putting some pressure on the home side to score a lot to cover.
It might not be much in the way of pressure given that UMass gives up 47ppg on defense.
Even in the win against the Zips they gave up 29.
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When I see a big dog I am always wondering whether I can make the argument. In this case, it is very difficult.
FIU Panthers
The Panthers just lost at Louisiana Tech. Not a big surprise but the fact that they are starting October with just one win, and 0-2 in CUSA is. Most had this team as a contender in East Division.
It is hard to poke at one side or the other in terms of offense/defense as both sides have been brutal. Maybe not quite as bad as UMass on D but they are not far off.
When they do have the ball they are only scoring 22ppg. QB James Morgan, who was so good last year after transferring from Bowling Green has really fallen off this season.
Things will really get hot in Miami if they lose this one. Coach Butch Davis was maybe going to use a strong season as a springboard but now he might not even make it through.
Still, a loss to UMass would be very unexpected.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- MASS are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Over is 21-7 in MASS last 28 non-conference games.
- Over is 20-7 in MASS last 27 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 8-2 in FIU last 10 games overall.
Free Week 6 NCAA Football Pick
It is always tough to find the right side when both teams are bad. I feel confident that I am right about UMass but perhaps FIU is a mediocre team masking itself as bad one so far.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: FIU -26.5
I know that is a lot of chalk to give up for a team with a losing record. Being at home helps but you are basically saying they are going to win each quarter by a TD.
I think they can do it if they play closer to preseason form.
This was supposed to be an FIU team that had great continuity going into the season. That has not played out in any meaningful way so far but this looks like a spot to get right.
Week 6 Free Score Prediction: FIU 55 – Massachusetts 20
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