Free NCAA Pick: Maryland vs. Michigan State Odds
Looking for Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Terrapins taking on the Spartans on Saturday, September 23rd at the Spartan Stadium (MI). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Maryland Michigan State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(3-0) Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Spartan Stadium (MI)
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Maryland -6 | Michigan State +6
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Maryland -233 | Michigan State +187
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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This Saturday, it’s the Michigan State Spartans (2-1) taking on the undefeated Maryland Terrapins (3-0). The Terrapins are strong favorites at -7, and the over/under is set at 53.5 points.
If you’re looking for the moneyline, it’s -280 for the Terrapins and +225 for the Spartans.
Get ready for some thrilling college football action, and keep following our CFB handicapping blog for in-depth insights on this game!
Michigan State will be looking for revenge in this week’s game, as the most recent matchup between the teams ended in a 27-13 win for Maryland. In the win, Maryland ran for 175 yards and threw for 314.
On 3rd down, the Terrapins went 8/17. On the other side, Michigan State completed 27 of their 44 passes for 221 yards and ran for 100 yards.
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Maryland Terrapins
Even though the Terrapins’ trailed by a score of 14-7 after the first quarter, Maryland managed to come back and beat the Cavaliers 42-14.
Through three games, Maryland have been the underdog in all of their games. So far, they have a scoring differential of +26 and are a perfect 2-0 vs. the spread.
So far this season, Maryland boasts an over/under record of 2-0. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 52.7 points, while the average over/under line has been 49.5 points.
Maryland Terrapins Stats
Maryland enters the game on offense with an average of 39.3, ranking them 21st in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 24th in the nation, with an average of 304 passing yards per game.
On the ground, they’re at 51st in rushing yards, with an average of 102 rushing attempts per game this season.
So far this season, the Terrapins’ defense has given up 121.3 rushing yards per game against the run (129th). Opponents are averaging 193.3 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 69.9 against Maryland.
In terms of points allowed, they are 66th in the NCAA.
The Terrapins’ passing game featured 30 pass attempts for 342 yards and one score vs. Virginia. In the rushing department, they averaged 3.8 yards per carry and notched four rushing touchdowns.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State is coming of a 41-7 loss to Washington. The Spartans were never able to receover from falling behind early, trailing 21-0 at the half.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Maryland, the Spartans have been favored in one game and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 1-1.
After three games, the average over/under line in Michigan State’s matches stands at 50.8 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 48.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 0-2.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
In the rushing game, the Spartans are currently 45th in college football with 96 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 114 rushing yards per game, putting them 99th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 30.3 passes and 263.3 yards per game.
When it comes to scoring, they are 50th, averaging 27.7 points per game.
The Spartans’ offense scored one rushing touchdown vs. Washington while gaining 53 rushing yards on 27 attempts. Unfortunately, their passing game couldn’t find the endzone and concluded with 208 yards from 35 pass attempts.
Defensively, the Spartans defense has come up with 10 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 20.7 points per contest (38th). Against the pass, they are 122nd in the NCAA, having allowed 250 passing yards allowed per game.
Michigan State is giving up 125 rushing yards per contest.
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Terrapins are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Terrapins are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Spartans have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Terrapins’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Spartans’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Maryland vs. Michigan State Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Terrapins | -225 | -272 | -6 | -7 |
Spartans | +180 | +216 | +6 | +7 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: UNDER
We’re going UNDER in this game on Saturday. We’ve seen the UNDER hit in 7/8 games between these two. The Terps could easily cover, but I’m not a fan of that line, so the UNDER is the play in Week 4.
There’s not a lot of talent on the MSU side, but with how Tagovailoa chucks the ball around there could be a turnover or two to keep this game closer than some people think. MSU’s defense has actually been OK on 3rd down, and MD ranks 39th in the nation vs. the Pass, and they get after the QB with six turnovers.
Think defense in this one.
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Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Homecoming Week❗️
🔗 | https://t.co/ix5fXN1ikm#GoGreen pic.twitter.com/YYYloxRrGc
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) September 18, 2023
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