Free NCAA Pick: LSU vs. USC Odds
Looking for LSU Tigers vs. USC Trojans free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Trojans on Sunday, September 1st at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this LSU USC matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) LSU Tigers vs. USC Trojans (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 1st
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) LSU -4.5 | USC +4.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: LSU -191 | USC +155
College Football Betting Total: O/U 64.5
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Tigers vs. Trojans Gameday
Get ready for an electrifying Week 1 showdown as the LSU Tigers clash with the USC Trojans on Sunday, September 1st, at Allegiant Stadium in Vegas. This matchup promises to be one of the marquee games of the opening weekend, and if you’re looking to get in on the action, the lines are already heating up!
LSU enters as a 4.5-point favorite, but don’t sleep on USC, who could easily cover and even pull off the upset with those +155 moneyline odds.
LSU Tigers
LSU enters the season ranked 12th in our pre-season power rankings, with an 86.8% chance of being bowl-eligible. Last season, the Tigers finished with a 10-3 record, going 8-0 at home and 2-3 on the road. They were favored in 12 of their 13 games, going 9-3 as the favorite and 1-0 as the underdog.
Currently, LSU has a 4.2% chance of winning the Southeastern Conference, while the futures market places them at +1040 to win the SEC and +425 to make it to the SEC Championship game, giving them a 19% chance. Our analysis also gives them a 26% chance of making the college football playoff and a 3.7% shot at a National Championship.
LSU Tigers Stats
LSU’s offense was the 2nd highest-scoring unit in the country last season, averaging 45.5 points per game. Their success was driven by a potent passing attack that averaged 339 passing yards per game, ranking 3rd in the nation. The Tigers were also efficient on third down, converting 54.6% of their chances, the best rate in college football. Their passing game was efficient, leading the country in passer rating (135) and passing yards per attempt (10.7).
Heading into the season, quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has the 9th best odds to win the Heisman Trophy after throwing for 592 yards and four touchdowns last season. LSU also added AJ Swann from Vanderbilt, who threw for 1457 yards last season. In the backfield, the Tigers are looking for a replacement for Josh Williams, who rushed for 284 yards last season. Skip Velotta, who transferred from Notre Dame, is also in the mix. LSU’s receiving corps is led by Kyren Lacy, who had 559 receiving yards last season, and the addition of CJ Daniels, who had 1067 yards receiving last year.
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LSU’s defense had a tough time stopping the run last season, allowing 162.2 rushing yards per game, which ranked 108th in the nation. Overall, they gave up 28 points per game, putting them 67th in the country. Their pass defense was slightly better, ranking 154th in passing yards allowed. Opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 92.9 while completing 62.3% of their passes against the Tigers.
USC Trojans
USC enters the season ranked 18th in our power rankings, with a 76.6% chance of being bowl-eligible. Last season, the Trojans finished with an 8-5 overall record, going 5-3 at home and 3-2 on the road. They were 4-0 as underdogs and 4-5 as favorites. Currently, we are giving them a 3.3% chance of winning the Big Ten, and their odds to win the conference are +2059, which is the 5th best out of the 18 teams in the conference.
Our projections also place USC 23rd in the odds to make the college football playoff and 19th in the chances of making it to the National Championship game.
USC Trojans Stats
USC’s offense was one of the most potent in the country last season, averaging 41.8 points per game, thanks in large part to their passing attack. The Trojans averaged 333 passing yards per game, ranking 4th in the nation, and their quarterbacks combined for the 3rd best passer rating. USC also had the 7th best completion percentage at 68.7%. However, the running game was less effective, ranking 85th in rush yards per game and 12th in rush yards per attempt.
This season, USC brings back quarterback Miller Moss, who threw for 681 yards and seven touchdowns last year. The Trojans also added Jayden Maiava from UNLV, who threw for 3,083 yards and 17 touchdowns last season. USC’s quarterback room is strong enough that Miller Moss enters the season with the 15th best odds to win the Heisman Trophy (+3066). In the backfield, Jo’quavious Marks, who ran for 573 yards last season, joins the team from Mississippi State.
USC’s defense was a big reason why they finished 5-7 last season, as they allowed 34.4 points per game. They had a tough time stopping the run, giving up 188 rushing yards per game, which ranked 148th in the country. In the passing game, they allowed 246.4 yards per game, which was 137th nationally. Opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 154 against the Trojans last season.
LSU Tigers vs. USC Trojans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The LSU Tigers are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the USC Trojans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the LSU Tigers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the USC Trojans have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the LSU Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The USC Trojans’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: USC +4.5
USC is coming into this week one matchup as the +4.5 point underdogs in Vegas, and we are predicting them to not only cover the spread but to win outright with a final score of 36-33.
With the over/under line set at 64.5 points, our projection of 69 points suggests taking the OVER as the best play.
This game has all the makings of a high-scoring thriller. Stay locked in with Cappers Picks for more expert insights and free NCAA picks all season long!
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LSU Tigers vs. USC Trojans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
it’s finally here… game week! ‼️✌️
🗓️ Sunday 9/1
⌚️ 4:30 PT / 7:30 ET
🏟️ @AllegiantStadm / @LasVegasBowl
📍 Las Vegas, NV
📺 @ESPNCFB on ABC
🎟️ SOLD OUTpresented by @InvescoUS pic.twitter.com/ZTOUm7mPhL
— USC Football ✌️ (@uscfb) August 26, 2024
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