Free NCAA Pick: LSU vs. Mississippi State Odds
Looking for LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free NCAA Week 3 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Bulldogs on Saturday, September 16th at the Davis Wade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this LSU Mississippi State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(1-1) LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0)
Date: Saturday, September 16th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium
NCAA Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: LSU -9.5 | Mississippi State +9.5
Week 3 CFB Moneyline Odds: LSU -372 | Mississippi State +285
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53
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The 14th-ranked LSU Tigers, holding a 1-1 record, are taking on their SEC rivals, the undefeated Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0), this Saturday at Davis Wade.
The Tigers are big favorites here, with a spread of 9.5 points. The over/under is set at 54.5. LSU is -375 on the moneyline, while Mississippi State is the underdog at +290.
You can find the college football betting odds for this LSU vs. Mississippi State clash at our top offshore sportsbooks.
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In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, LSU picked up the 31-16 win (last year). LSU will hope to run the ball well once again as the last time they faced up they put up 207 yards on the ground.
As for Mississippi State they finished with 289 yards of total offense compared to LSU at 417.
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LSU Tigers
LSU most recently took down Grambling by a score of 72-10. The Tigers went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 42.
Through two games, LSU’s average scoring differential is +20.5. The Tigers have not covered the spread so far, and have been the underdog in every game.
LSU has put together an over/under record of 1-0 throughout this season.
The average combined score in their games has been 75.5 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 56.5 points.
LSU Tigers Stats
As they prepare to face the Mississippi State, the Tigers’ offense is averaging 207.5 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 31st in rushing yards and 31st in passing yards, on an average of 333 yards per matchup. LSU has averaged 48 points per game so far.
This figure places them 13th in the nation.
The LSU defense holds the 40th position in points allowed, allowing 27.5 points per game. Teams have an average of 258 passing yards per game against them (113th nationally).
In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 149 rushing yards, placing them 87th in college football.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Mississippi State Bulldogs most recently faced off against Arizona, picking up a 31-24 win. Mississippi State needed overtime to finish the job, after they were tied with Arizona 24-24 after regulation.
When looking at the spread, the Bulldogs are still undefeated at 0-0. The team’s scoring margin so far this year is at +24. So far, they have been favored in all of their games.
After two games, the average over/under line in Mississippi State’s matches stands at 60.5 points.
The collective score in their games has averaged 55 points, resulting in an OU record of 0-0.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Mississippi State’s rushing attack is ranked 26th in college football with 78 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 221.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 25th nationally.
On average, they are attempting 23 passes per game leading to 194.5 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 25th position, averaging 39.5 points per game.
Mississippi State’s defense sits at 19th for points allowed, allowing 15.5 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 232.5 passing yards per game against them (92nd nationally).
On the ground, they’re yielding 87 rushing yards, ranking them 29th in college football.
LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bulldogs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bulldogs have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Bulldogs’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
LSU vs. Mississippi State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -400 | -369 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| Bulldogs | +295 | +283 | +9.5 | +9.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NCAA Betting Prediction: LSU -9.5
For this game, I’m favoring LSU to cover the spread at -9.5. Daniels, Diggs, Nabers et al will all be too much for the Dogs on Saturday.
In the Tigers’ recent matchup, they crushed Grambling 72-10. LSU knows how to put points on the board, and I reckon they’ll have no problem advancing up the field against the Bulldogs.
LSU showcased a strong rushing game in their previous matchup against Grambling, and I expect them to carry that momentum into this week’s matchup. I’ll be placing my bet on LSU before the game starts.
My big best in this game is on the total! LSU’s games have both gone OVER the total this year, and this one will too!
Both QBs got game. In the last showdown in 2022, Rodgers threw for 214 yards, snagged a TD, but also chucked an INT. Daniels, on the other hand, put up 210 yards and a TD. LSU came out on top with a 31-16 victory. It’s gonna be a QB showdown once again, folks!
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LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Saturday. Be 𝐋𝐎𝐔𝐃. Get in 𝐄𝐀𝐑𝐋𝐘.
𝐒𝐓𝐑𝐈𝐏𝐄𝐎𝐔𝐓 Davis Wade!Need to know what to wear?
→ https://t.co/350S9GIiMs#HailState🐶 x @HailStateFB pic.twitter.com/4W72SUdNSg— Mississippi State Athletics (@HailState) September 13, 2023
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