Free NCAA Pick: LSU vs. Florida State Odds
Looking for LSU Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Seminoles on Sunday, September 3rd at the Camping World Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this LSU Florida State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) LSU Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 3rd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Camping World Stadium
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: LSU -2.5 | Florida State +2.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: LSU -150 | Florida State +122
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58
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Florida State will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 24-23 win over LSU. In the game, Florida State threw for 260 yards while averaging 13.0 yards per completion. LSU ran for 139 compared to 132 for Florida State.
On the other side, this is my definite understanding regarding LSU’s current state. The team’s performance in running the ball is poised to improve compared to last year, and on the defensive side, there’s an expectation for an even better squad.
The influx of new talent should address the majority of the issues encountered last year, in a nutshell…they’re going to be damn good!
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LSU Tigers
Last season, LSU finished with an overall record of 10-4, which included going 5-1 in SEC – West action. In the SEC – West they finished in 3rd place and finished the season with 63-7 win over Purdue Boilermakers in the Cheez-it Citrus Bowl.
Against non-conference opponents, the Tigers went 5-3.
LSU Tigers Stats
Jayden Daniels is the team’s top returning passer after throwing for 2913 last year. For the season, he had 17 passing touchdowns and completed 68.6% of his passes.
LSU’s top returning wide receiver is Malik Nabers, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 1009 on 72 receptions. Josh Williams is LSU’s top returning rusher with 536 rushing yards last year.
When looking at how LSU got after the quarterback last year, they were 18th in sacks and 20th in QB hurries. Overall, they allowed an average of 22.5 points per game, putting them 90th in the NCAA.
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State’s season ended in a 35-32 win over Oklahoma in the Cheez-it Bowl. The team’s overall record for the season was 10-3. This included finishing 3-1 at home and 7-2 at home.
In Atlantic Coast action, they were 5-3.
The talk this offseason is they’re a playoff team, and I can get down with this logic, but it would sure help if they get started this week with a win in Week 1 vs. LSU.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
Quarterback Jordan Travis returns to the team after throwing for 3214 yards and throwing 24 touchdowns. Last year he completed 64.2% of his passes.
Florida State’s top returning wide receiver is Johnny Wilson, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 897 on 43 receptions. Trey Benson is Florida State’s top returning rusher with 990 rushing yards last year.
When looking at how Florida State got after the quarterback last year, they were 8th in sacks and 28th in QB hurries. Overall, they allowed an average of 20.6 points per game, putting them 71st in the NCAA.
LSU Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Seminoles have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Seminoles’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
LSU vs. Florida State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -155 | -150 | -3 | -2.5 |
| Seminoles | +128 | +122 | +3 | +2.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: LSU -2.5
On the spread, the bet that I’ll be getting down for this LSU vs. Florida State matchup is to take LSU at -2.5.
Last year, they were an above .500 team vs. the spread and should kick off the season with both a straight-up and ATS win.
This is a game people have been talking about since last season ended. I’m expecting a great game on ABC. LSU lost this one last year and they feel like they’re the better team, plus they feel their better than last year’s team. We’re on LSU -2.5.
With a small lean to the OVER.
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LSU Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
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