LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators 11/16/2024 Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: LSU vs. Florida Odds

Looking for LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Gators on Saturday, November 16th at the Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this LSU Florida matchup.

2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12

(6-3) LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators (4-5)
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) LSU -5 | Florida +5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: LSU -199 | Florida +164
College Football Betting Total: O/U 55

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The LSU Tigers and Florida Gators rivalry is as heated as a Saturday night in Death Valley, and Week 11 promises another chapter in this storied SEC showdown.

Historically, Florida holds a slight edge in the series, leading 33-31-3, though a few LSU wins were vacated. The Gators once flexed their dominance with a nine-game win streak from 1988 to 1996, including a jaw-dropping 58-3 beatdown in ’93. But LSU has clawed back over the years, fueled by a high-octane offense and a fierce home-field advantage.

LSU is the -5 point favorite as they head into this week 12 matchup against the Florida Gators. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, and you can catch the game on ABC.

The money line odds have LSU at -199 and Florida at +164. The over/under line is currently at 55 points.

LSU comes in with a 6-3 record, while Florida is 4-5 on the season.

With both programs hungry to make a statement late in the season, this game isn’t just about bragging rights—it’s about staying relevant in a cutthroat SEC. Buckle up; this one’s got fireworks written all over it!

LSU Tigers

LSU enters Week 12 against Florida with a 6-3 record, ranked 16th in our power rankings. They are 100% bowl-eligible but have just a 3.6% chance of winning the Southeastern. Their playoff odds stand at 7.2%.

The Tigers have been favored in five of their nine games, going 4-1 as the favorite. They’ve posted a +5.7 average scoring margin but are 2-5 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is 55 points. LSU’s games have averaged 55.4 points, with an average line of 58.9 points. Their over/under record is 2-5, with an average margin of -4.7 points.

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LSU Tigers Stats

Heading into week 12, LSU’s offense is averaging 30.6 points per game, placing them 39th nationally. However, they rank 12th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the focal point, ranking 7th with 322.8 yards per game. They are 9th in both passing attempts and completions per game.

Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has thrown for 2,870 yards, completing 62.8% of his passes, with 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. LSU is converting 48.4% of their third downs, ranking 11th. Nussmeier’s passer rating is 92. Leading receiver Kyren Lacy has 697 yards and seven touchdowns. On the ground, Caden Durham has 460 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

LSU’s defense struggled in their recent game against Alabama, allowing 42 points in a 42-13 loss. They gave up 421 total yards, including 312 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns, though they held Alabama to just 109 passing yards.

Heading into this week, LSU ranks 51st nationally, allowing 24.9 points per game. They’ve given up 216.2 passing yards per game (84th) and 155.3 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 62.4% of their passes against LSU’s defense.

Florida Gators

Florida enters Week 12 against LSU with a 4-5 record, ranked 28th in our power rankings. They have a 44.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Gators are 2-2, while their road record stands at 1-2 this season.

Florida’s ATS record is 4-3, and they’ve been favored in just one game this season. Their average scoring margin is +0.6 points per game, and they’ve gone 6-1 against the over/under line.

The Gators’ average over/under line is 52.2 points, with their games averaging 55.7 points. This week’s line is set at 55 points, with three games having higher lines and five lower than this week’s total.

Florida Gators Stats

Heading into week 12, Florida’s offense ranks 50th in points per game, averaging 28.1, and they are 51st in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game leads the way, with 156 yards per game on 34.8 attempts.

Jadan Baugh is the leading rusher with 411 yards and six touchdowns. Quarterback DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,071 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. Florida ranks 90th in third-down conversions, converting 37% of their attempts.

Florida’s defense struggled in their recent game against Texas, giving up 49 points and 563 total yards. They allowed 211 rushing yards on 30 carries and 352 passing yards, including five passing touchdowns.

On the season, Florida’s defense ranks 116th nationally, allowing 167.8 rushing yards per game. Opponents are averaging 234.1 passing yards per game against them, completing 60.6% of their passes.

LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The LSU Tigers are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
• Conversely, the Florida Gators are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
• Also, the LSU Tigers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Florida Gators have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
• Over the LSU Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
• The Florida Gators’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.

4* Free 2024 Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida +5

Florida is the +5 point underdog at home in their week 12 matchup against LSU. We have the Gators winning straight-up, with a final score of 28-24, making them a good pick to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 55 points, our projection of 52 points suggests that taking the under is the best play.

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LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day

Tomorrow. 🐊 pic.twitter.com/UN66M6aQd7

— Florida Gators Football (@GatorsFB) November 15, 2024

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About Kyle Knecht

New to Cappers Picks but not new to the world of online sports gambling. Kyle Knecht is a lifelong sports fan from Jacksonville, Florida that has a passion for sports and sports betting. He has coached and played college sports for 10 years so he has seen sports from the inside and knows how it operates. After he got out of coaching he picked up sports betting and has found a true niche with watching games and analyzing their outcomes. He is looking to share his expertise and knowledge with others to help turn a profit in the sports betting world.

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