Free NCAA Pick: Louisville vs. NC State Odds
Looking for Louisville Cardinals vs. NC State Wolfpack free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Wolfpack on Friday, September 29th at the Carter-Finley Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Louisville NC State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(4-0) Louisville Cardinals vs. NC State Wolfpack (3-1)
Date: Friday, September 29th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Louisville -3.5 | NC State +3.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Louisville -176 | NC State +144
College Football Betting Total: O/U 55
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The most recent matchup between these teams finished with a 25-10 win for the Louisville. When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, Louisville ran for 192 yards while throwing for 153.
As for NC State, they finished with 214 while running for 77.
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Louisville Cardinals
In their most recent game, Louisville had no problem taking down Boston College, as they went on to win by a score of 56-28.
Louisville’s record vs. the spread this season is a perfect 3-0. So far, they have been the underdog in all four of their games and have a scoring differential of +24.
This season, Louisville has an over/under record of 2-1. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 62 points, with the typical over/under line being 51 points.
Louisville Cardinals Stats
The Cardinals’ heads into the game, averaging 237.2 rushing yards per game and 6 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 7th in rushing yards and 7th in passing yards at 304.8 yards per contest.
Louisville is averaging 43 points per game, which is 10th in the nation.
The Cardinals’ defense has allowed 114.8 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 146th. Opponents are averaging 244.8 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 83 against Louisville.
They currently rank 61st in points allowed in the NCAA.
The Cardinals’ ended with 21 pass attempts vs Boston College, racking up 388 yards and five scores. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.7 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.
NC State Wolfpack
NC State’s most recent game finished in a tight 24-21 win over Virginia.
NC State’s average scoring differential for the season is +7.5 leading to an ATS mark of 2-1. The Wolfpack have been favored one time and the underdog in two game
Heading into this week’s game, NC State’s over/under record is 1-2. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +2.7 with their games averaging 51 points per game.
NC State Wolfpack Stats
The Wolfpack come into their matchup vs. Louisville 26th in college football at 157 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 166.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 55th nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 34.2 times each game, accumulating an average of 214.8 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 47th, with 29.2 points per game.
Through the air, the Wolfpack’s attempted 31 passes against Virginia, gaining 180 yards and securing two scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 3.9 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
NC State’s defense ranks 58th in points allowed, with 21.8 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 211.5 passing yards against them (77th nationally).
On the ground, they’ve conceded 114.5 rushing yards, putting them 50th in college football.
Louisville Cardinals vs. NC State Wolfpack NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Cardinals are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Wolfpack are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Cardinals are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wolfpack have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cardinals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Wolfpack’s have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Louisville vs. NC State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -175 | -176 | -3 | -3.5 |
| Wolfpack | +144 | +144 | +3 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Louisville -3.5
For this game, I’m favoring Louisville to cover the spread at -3.5. Louisville showcased a strong rushing game in their previous matchup against Boston College, and I expect them to carry that momentum into this week’s matchup.
Louisville are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games, and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
I’ll be placing my bet on Louisville before the game starts.
My model has this one at 57 points total, so play the OVER 55. It’s a small lean.
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Louisville Cardinals vs. NC State Wolfpack NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/PackFootball/status/1706806759044661380
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