Free NCAA Pick: Louisville vs. Miami Odds
Looking for Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Hurricanes on Saturday, November 18th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Louisville Miami matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(9-1) Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes (6-4)
Date: Saturday, November 18th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
NCAA Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Louisville -2 | Miami +2
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: Louisville -121 | Miami -101
College Football Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Miami has gone 3-0. Miami also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 47 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
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Louisville Cardinals
Fueling Louisville’s most recent 31-24 win over Virginia was a strong first quarter. In the game, they were up 7-0 after the opening quarter.
Louisville’s average scoring differential for the season is +15.6 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5.
The Cardinals have been favored eight times and the underdog in one games
This season, Louisville holds an over/under record of 4-5. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 49.8 points, with the typical over/under line set at 50.2 points.
Louisville Cardinals Stats
Louisville comes into the game with an offense averaging 32.7, which places them at 31st in the NCAA rankings.
Their passing game has them ranked 47th nationally, with an average of 251.1 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 25th in the nation, with 371 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Defensively, the Cardinals defense has come up with 26 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 17.1 points per contest (58th). Against the pass, they are 62nd in the NCAA, having allowed 208.2 passing yards allowed per game.
Louisville is giving up 94.2 rushing yards per contest.
The Cardinals’ passing game featured 28 pass attempts for 243 yards and two scores vs. Virginia. In the rushing department, they averaged 6.3 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.
Miami Hurricanes
Miami is coming off a tough 27-20 loss to Florida State. The Hurricanes couldn’t hold on after a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 10-3 lead. Miami was outscored by 14 in the second half.
Miami’s average scoring differential for the season is +10.2 leading to an ATS mark of 4-3.
The Hurricanes have been favored four times and the underdog in three games
Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in Miami’s matchups has been 49.3 points.
These games have had an average combined score of 51.6 points, leading to an OU record of 3-4.
Miami Hurricanes Stats
On the offensive side, Miami has averaged 30.9 points per game this season. This figure has them 39th in the NCAA.
Their passing game, averaging 255.6 passing yards, is ranked 44th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 46th in rushing yards with an average of 340 rushing attempts per contest this season.
Offensively, the Hurricanes went 4/16 on 3rd down vs. Florida State and finished with 335 yards of offense. In the passing game, they had two touchdowns and 204 yards. The Hurricanes did not score on any of their 34 rushing attempts and ended with 131 rushing yards.
This season, the Hurricanes’ defense has allowed 86.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 199th.
Opponents average 226.5 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 79.5 against Miami. They hold the 73rd position in NCAA points allowed.
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Cardinals are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Hurricanes are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Hurricanes have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cardinals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Hurricanes’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Louisville vs. Miami Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -125 | -121 | -2 | -2 |
| Hurricanes | +102 | -101 | +2 | +2 |
4* Free Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: Miami +2
I expect Louisville to come out on top in this matchup, but the game might be tighter than you think, Louisville should ultimately pull out the win over Miami.
I like Miami +2.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 47.5 points.
The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 51 points.
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Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Game Week!
https://twitter.com/CanesFootball/status/1724219366818848944
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