Free NCAA Pick: Louisville vs. Florida State Odds
Looking for Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida State Seminoles free NCAA Week 14 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Seminoles on Saturday, December 2nd at the Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Louisville Florida State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(10-2) Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida State Seminoles (12-0)
2023 ACC Championship Game
Date: Saturday, December 2nd
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
NCAA Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Louisville +3.5 | Florida State -3.5
Week 14 CFB Moneyline Odds: Louisville +138 | Florida State -167
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51
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The most recent matchup between these teams finished with a 35-31 win for Florida State. Florida State had a good game in the passing attack vs. Louisville, putting 455 yards of offense with 266 yards through the air.
Louisville ran for 252 while throwing for 243.
FSU has the historical advantage over the Cardinals, leading the series 17-6. However, in the last six games, they are tied at 3-3. Last year, the Seminoles won at home, 35-31, while in 2021, the Cardinals grabbed a 31-23 road win.
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Louisville is coming off a 38-31 loss to Kentucky and were unable to pull out a win in the 4th quarter as Kentucky outscored Louisville by 10 in the final period.
So far, Louisville has been favored nine times and the underdog in one game.
This has led to an ATS record of 5-6 and an average scoring differential of +13.
So far in this season, Louisville has posted an over/under record of 6-5. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 53 points, with the typical over/under line set at 49.7 points.
Louisville Cardinals Stats
The Cardinals’ offense is gearing up to take on Florida State, with an average of 185.2 rushing yards per game and an 5 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 32nd place for rushing yards and 47th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 255.1 yards per contest.
Louisville’s overall scoring average is at 33 points per game, placing them 29th rank nationally.
This season, the Cardinals’ defense has allowed 98.8 rushing yards per contest, placing them 196th. Opponents are averaging 217.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 75.8 when facing Louisville.
They currently hold the 87th spot in NCAA points allowed.
Through the air, the Cardinals’ attempted 33 passes against Kentucky, gaining 242 yards and securing two scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 3.7 yards per carry, resulting in two rushing touchdowns.
Florida State Seminoles
The Seminoles’ most recent game came against Florida and led to them picking up a 24-15 win.
Florida State’s average scoring differential for the season is +22 leading to an ATS mark of 6-4. The Seminoles have been favored nine times and the underdog in one games
Florida State has put together an over/under record of 6-4 throughout this season.
The average combined score in their games has been 55.5 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 51.6 points.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
As they prepare to face the Louisville, the Seminoles’ offense is averaging 157.5 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 65th in rushing yards and 28th in passing yards, on an average of 276.4 yards per matchup. Florida State has averaged 38.8 points per game so far. This figure places them 9th in the nation.
The Seminoles’ offense scored three rushing touchdowns vs. Florida while gaining 92 rushing yards on 29 attempts. Unfortunately, their passing game couldn’t find the endzone and concluded with 134 yards from 26 pass attempts.
Ranked 179th in passing yards allowed per game, Florida State’s defense gets ready to take on Louisville. Opponents have attempted an average of 29.2 passes per game against the Seminoles.
They’re allowing 16.8 points per contest, placing them 58th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 64th in the NCAA.
Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Cardinals are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Seminoles are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Seminoles have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cardinals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Seminoles’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Louisville vs. Florida State Line Movement
4* Free Week 14 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida State -3.5
Louisville, with a record of 10-2 overall, 7-1 in the ACC, and a 6-5-1 ATS, is going head-to-head against Florida State, who boasts an impressive 12-0 record, 8-0 in the ACC, and a 7-5 ATS. They’re set to clash this Saturday at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C., with the game kicking off at 8 p.m. ET on ABC.
Last week, the Cardinals faced a tough 38-31 loss at home against Kentucky in a non-conference matchup, while the Seminoles managed to secure a 24-15 victory over their rival, Florida, in Gainesville during the regular-season finale.
In terms of rankings, Louisville sits at #14, while Florida State is currently holding the #4 spot. This matchup appears to be one of the more promising games of the week, at least on paper.
On the moneyline, the way to go is to grab Florida State. Not only should they pick up a win over Florida State, but I also project them covering the spread.
In this game, I’m backing Florida State to come home with the win and cover the spread. They hold the advantage in the passing game compared to Louisville.
My pick for the spread in this matchup is Florida State at -3.5.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 60 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 51.
Florida State has been on fire lately, making them a reliable pick to cover the spread. They hold a perfect 10-0 SU (straight-up) record in their last 10 games and an impressive 11-0 SU record against ACC opponents.
Even on Saturdays, they’ve shown consistency with a 10-5 ATS (against the spread) record in their last 15 games played. When it comes to total points, Florida State games tend to go OVER, with the OVER hitting in 7 of their last 9 games against Louisville, 6 of their last 8 games played in December, and 10 of their last 15 games overall.
On the other side, Louisville has seen the total points go OVER in 4 of their last 6 games.
These trends provide added confidence for me in picking Florida State to win ATS on Saturday.
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Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
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