Free NCAA Pick: Louisiana Tech vs. SMU Odds
Looking for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. SMU Mustangs free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Mustangs on Saturday, September 2nd at the Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Louisiana Tech SMU matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(1-0) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. SMU Mustangs (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 2nd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Louisiana Tech +18.5 | SMU -18.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Louisiana Tech +646 | SMU -1168
College Football Betting Total: O/U 65.5
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Louisiana Tech and SMU did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 1-2. Against the spread, each team also went 0-3 and finished with an over/under mark of 1-2. These games averaged a combined 45 points per contest.
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Last season, the Bulldogs put together an overall record of 3-9 while going 2-1 in Conference USA action. In the non-conference portion of their schedule, the Bulldogs went 1-8 and did not qualify for a post-season bowl game.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Stats
At the quarterback position, the Bulldogs will need to replace the production of last year’s leading passer (Parker McNeil). For the season, he completed 57.5% of his passes for 1908 yards and 18 touchdowns. Louisiana Tech’s leading returning QB is Jack Turner who threw for 176 yards last season.
Louisiana Tech’s top returning wide receiver is Smoke Harris, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 635 on 65 receptions. Marquis Crosby is Louisiana Tech’s top returning rusher with 918 rushing yards last year.
Last year’s Louisiana Tech defense gave up an average of 225.6 passing yards per game. This figure put them 92nd in the country compared to a rush defense that was 178th in the NCAA. Overall, they gave up an average of 37.9 (152nd).
SMU Mustangs
SMU capped last season with a 24-23 loss to BYU in the New Mexico Bowl. The Mustangs’ overall record last season was 7-6, putting them 4th in the American Athletic. Against non-conference teams, SMU went 2-5.
SMU Mustangs Stats
At the quarterback position, the Mustangs will need to replace the production of last year’s leading passer (Tanner Mordecai). For the season, he completed 65% of his passes for 3524 yards and 33 touchdowns. SMU’s leading returning QB is Preston Stone who threw for 388 yards last season.
SMU’s top returning wide receiver is Jordan Kerley, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 588 on 37 receptions. Tyler Lavine is SMU’s top returning rusher with 642 rushing yards last year.
SMU’s rush defense finished the season ranked 154th in rushing yards allowed and finished 96th in passing yards allowed per contest. For the season, team’s scored an average of 33.8 points per game, placing them 148th in the country.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. SMU Mustangs NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Bulldogs are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Mustangs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bulldogs are 1-9 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Mustangs have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bulldogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Mustangs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Louisiana Tech vs. SMU Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | +580 | +646 | +16.5 | +18.5 |
| Mustangs | -880 | -1168 | -16.5 | -18.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Louisiana Tech +18.5
Last season, teams that were favored on the spread, went on to cover at a rate of just 46.9%. While the Bulldogs did grab a W in week 0, they won’t win this one outright, but I like the value in grabbing Louisiana Tech at +18.5 in their matchup vs. SMU.
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. SMU Mustangs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Almost that time.#PonyUpDallas pic.twitter.com/Xbn4iEJZMv
— SMU FOOTBALL (@SMUFB) August 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/CFBONFOX/status/1695858722340282382
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