Free NCAA Pick: Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Odds
Looking for Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Flames taking on the Hilltoppers on Tuesday, October 24th at the Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Liberty Western Kentucky matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(7-0) Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-3)
Date: Tuesday, October 24th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY
NCAA Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Liberty -5 | Western Kentucky +5
Week 9 CFB Moneyline Odds: Liberty -205 | Western Kentucky +167
College Football Betting Total: O/U 60.5
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These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Liberty has gone 2-1. The over/under record in these games was 1-2 with the teams averaging 58 points per game combined. Liberty went 2-1 vs. the spread.
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Liberty Flames
The Flames are coming a 42-35 win over Middle Tennessee, heading into their matchup vs. Western Kentucky.
Liberty heads into this week’s matchup with an ATS record of 4-1. So far, they have been favored in every game and have an average scoring margin of +16.6 points per contest.
After seven games, the average over/under line in Liberty’s matches stands at 53.7 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 56 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-2.
Liberty Flames Stats
On offense, the Flames come in with the 85th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 213.3 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 5th in terms of attempts.
Defensively, the Flames defense has come up with 14 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 19.7 points per contest (65th). Against the pass, they are 72nd in the NCAA, having allowed 214.3 passing yards allowed per game. Liberty is giving up 117.4 rushing yards per contest.
Through the air, the Flames’ attempted 20 passes against Middle Tennessee, gaining 140 yards and securing two scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 7.1 yards per carry, resulting in four rushing touchdowns.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
In their most recent loss to Jacksonville State, the Hilltoppers trailed by -3 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score 20-17.
Western Kentucky’s average scoring differential for the season is +2.3 leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. The Hilltoppers have been favored three times and the underdog in two games
Western Kentucky has put together an over/under record of 2-3 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 57.7 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 62.6 points.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Stats
As they prepare to face the Liberty, the Hilltoppers’ offense is averaging 100.6 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 114th in rushing yards and 35th in passing yards, on an average of 282.4 yards per matchup. Western Kentucky has averaged 30 points per game so far. This figure places them 46th in the nation.
In the game against Jacksonville State, the Hilltoppers’ offense generated 339 yards of offense, with 89 coming from rushing plays and 250 from passing plays. On third down, they converted 7 out of 18 attempts and threw two touchdowns in total.
On defense, the Hilltoppers defense has 18 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 27.7 points per game against them (98th). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 144th in the NCAA, allowing 259.9 passing yards per game. Moreover, Western Kentucky’s run defense is allowing 206.1 rushing yards per contest.
Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Flames are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Hilltoppers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Flames are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Hilltoppers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Flames’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Hilltoppers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flames | -141 | -206 | -3 | -5 |
| Hilltoppers | +116 | +167 | +3 | +5 |
4* Free Week 9 NCAA Betting Prediction: Western Kentucky +5
Liberty’s passing game struggled in their recent matchup against Middle Tennessee. I don’t anticipate a sudden improvement, which is why I’m favoring Western Kentucky as 5-point underdogs.
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Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Everything left to play for. #GoTops | #PackTheHouch pic.twitter.com/imMa4ngIuJ
— WKU Football (@WKUFootball) October 19, 2023
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