Free NCAA Pick: Liberty vs. Buffalo Odds
Looking for Liberty Flames vs. Buffalo Bulls free NCAA Week 3 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Flames taking on the Bulls on Saturday, September 16th at the UB Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Liberty Buffalo matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(2-0) Liberty Flames vs. Buffalo Bulls (0-2)
Date: Saturday, September 16th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: UB Stadium
NCAA Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Liberty -3.5 | Buffalo +3.5
Week 3 CFB Moneyline Odds: Liberty -172 | Buffalo +140
College Football Betting Total: O/U 55
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The Buffalo Bulls (0-2) are determined to pull off an upset against the undefeated Liberty Flames (2-0) this week.
The Flames head into the game as clear favorites, boasting a 3.5 spread advantage, while the over/under for the contest stands at 55.5 points. It promises to be a thrilling clash between these two teams.
These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Buffalo has gone 2-1. Against the spread, Buffalo went 3-0 in these matchups.
On the over/under, the teams went 2-1 combining for 53 points per contest.
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Liberty Flames
Liberty most recently played against New Mexico State and won by a score of 33-17.
So far, the Flames are a perfect 2-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of +13. When looking at their previous betting lines, they have been the underdog in all of their games.
Over the course of two games, the average over/under line in Liberty’s matchups has been 51.8 points. These games have had an average combined score of 54 points, leading to an OU record of 1-1.
Liberty Flames Stats
Liberty’s offense is averaging 33.5 points per game, which ranks them 35th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 209.5 passing yards on average, putting them at 82nd in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 14th in rushing yards, with an average of 101 rushing attempts per game this season.
Liberty’s defense sits at 27th for points allowed, allowing 20.5 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 153 passing yards per game against them (32nd nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 180.5 rushing yards, ranking them 113th in college football.
Buffalo Bulls
Buffalo is coming off a 40-37 loss to Fordham in their most recent game. In the 4th quarter, Buffalo trailed by -7 and were unable to cut into Fordham’s lead.
Buffalo’s average scoring differential so far this season is at -12 points per game leading to an ATS mark of 0-1. This has come while being favored in each of their first two.
The average point total in Buffalo’s two games is currently 66 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 1-0 for the Bulls.
Buffalo Bulls Stats
As they prepare to face the Liberty, the Bulls’ offense is averaging 109.5 rushing yards per game and 3 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 97th in rushing yards and 97th in passing yards, on an average of 229.5 yards per matchup.
Buffalo has averaged 27 points per game so far. This figure places them 48th in the nation.
Defensively, the Bulls defense has come up with three sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 39 points per contest (59th).
Against the pass, they are 105th in the NCAA, having allowed 249 passing yards allowed per game. Buffalo is giving up 232 rushing yards per contest.
Liberty Flames vs. Buffalo Bulls NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Flames are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Flames are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bulls have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Flames’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bulls’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Liberty vs. Buffalo Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flames | -182 | -168 | -4.5 | -3.5 |
| Bulls | +148 | +137 | +4.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NCAA Betting Prediction: Liberty -3.5
My money is on Liberty to cover the spread at -3.5 for this matchup. Liberty had a solid performance in their last game, especially in the running game against New Mexico State.
It’s quite surprising to witness such a strong beginning for Liberty. Their offense showcased an impressive performance against New Mexico State, and it appears they’re set to maintain that momentum in their upcoming game against Buffalo.
I believe they’ll maintain that form this week, so I’m betting on Liberty to cover before kickoff.
I’m leaning heavily towards betting on the under, as our statistical model predicts that Liberty and Buffalo will only produce a combined total of 52 points.
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Liberty Flames vs. Buffalo Bulls NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Here are the Top 5 Plays of the Week presented by @ECMCBuffalo.#UBhornsUP | #PoundTheRock pic.twitter.com/C8d7sB3LcE
— UB Football (@UBFootball) September 11, 2023
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