Free Week 4 Prediction: Wildcats vs Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Kentucky Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free picks? Week 4 betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Bulldogs Saturday September 21st at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Kentucky Mississippi State Week 4 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 4
(2-1) Kentucky Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 21st 2019
Time: 4:00 pm EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Mississippi
NCAA Football Spread: -6
NCAA Betting Total: 48.5
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The Kentucky Wildcats will be on the road this week to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Davis Wade Stadium. Kentucky will be looking to go 3-1 after falling to the Florida Gators at home last week.
Mississippi State will also be looking to bounce back after losing 31-24 to Kansas State last Saturday. The Bulldogs will need to keep Sawyer Smith and the Wildcats passing attack at bay if they want to cover the spread this weekend.
The Kentucky Wildcats ran out of gas last week and fell short 29-21 at home against the Florida Gators. Kentucky went into the locker room up 14-7 at the half but gave up 19 unanswered points to the Gators in the fourth quarter.
The Wildcats had 26 first downs in the game, converting eight of 14 on third-down and moving the chains one of two tries on fourth.
They had a total of 407 yards on offense. The Cats completed 23 of 35 passing attempts for 267 yards and averaged 3.4 yards per carry for 140 yards on the ground. The Kentucky offense had four turnovers in the game with three interceptions and a fumble.
Quarterback Sawyer Smith completed 23 of 35 passing attempts for 267 yards with two touchdowns. But as mentioned earlier, he completed three passes to the Florida defense. Kavosiey Smoke was the leading rusher for Kentucky with 81 yards on 16 carries. Ahmad Wagner had three receptions for 70 yards and a score. Lynn Bowden Jr also had 70 yards with seven grabs.
On defense, Kentucky gave up 438 total yards to the Gators. Florida was able to complete 21 of 30 passing attempts for 300 yards through the air. They averaged over five yards per carry running the ball for 138 rushing yards.
Linebacker Kash Daniel led the defense with 10 tackles while Tyrell Ajian had the team’s only interception.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will be looking to bounce back from a 32-24 loss against the Kansas State Wildcats last week. The Bulldogs went into halftime down just 17-14 but were outscored by the Wildcats 14-3 in the fourth quarter.
They were able to pick up 21 first downs in the game, but only converted four of 14 third-down opportunities. Mississippi State moved the ball for 352 total yards with 201 of them coming on the ground.
They were able to complete 11 of 27 passes for 151 yards while averaging over four yards a carry with the ball on the ground.
The Bulldogs defense held Kansas State to just 269 total yards. They were able to pick up 123 passing yards on 10 of 18 while averaging 4.2 yards per carry for a buck 46 on the ground.
Quarterback Tommy Stevens completed seven of 15 passes for 100 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. Back up QB Garrett Shrader was impressive with 10 carries for 82 rushing yards and a touchdown.
He also completed four passes for 51 yards. Kylin Hill was the leading rusher with 24 carries for 111 yards. Osirus Mitchell had five receptions in the game for 74 yards and a score.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in previous 5 games.
- Kentucky is 4-1 ATS last 5 week 4 games.
- Total has gone over in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 6 games.
- The total has gone over in Kentucky’s last 6 games.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Pick
I like Kentucky covering on the road in this one. I’m not sure if they will do enough to win the game, but I think it will stay under seven.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Bulldogs by 4
The Cats were tough against a much better Florida team and I don’t believe that was just a fluke. They’re still two or three years away, but I see them making some noise in the SEC East in the future.
Week 4 Free Score Prediction: Kentucky 31 – Mississippi State 35
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