Free NCAA Pick: Kentucky vs. Louisville Odds
Looking for Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Cardinals on Saturday, November 25th at the L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Kentucky Louisville matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(6-5) Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals (10-1)
Date: Saturday, November 25th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY
NCAA Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kentucky +7 | Louisville -7
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Kentucky +225 | Louisville -282
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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Since its 1994 revival, the Wildcats-Cardinals rivalry has featured the annual Governor’s Cup trophy, with Kentucky holding a 19-15 overall lead. In the modern era starting in 1994, Louisville leads 15-13.
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Kentucky currently holds the bragging rights over Louisville as in their most recent head to head matchup, they won 26-13. On the defensive end, Kentucky put the clamps down on Louisville as they threw for 145 yards.
Offensively, Kentucky finished with 346 yards of total offense with 188 in the passing game and 158 on the ground.
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Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky is coming off a tough 17-14 loss to South Carolina. The Wildcats couldn’t hold on after a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 7-0 lead. Kentucky was outscored by 10 in the second half.
Kentucky’s average scoring differential for the season is +3.5 leading to an ATS mark of 5-5. The Wildcats have been favored six times and the underdog in four games
Kentucky has an over/under record of 7-3 so far this season.
On average their games have combined for 52 points with the average over/under line being 48.2 points.
Kentucky Wildcats Stats
The Wildcats are currently ranked 99th in college football with 290 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 135.3 rushing yards per game, which is 92nd in the nation.
Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 29.5 attempts per game and gain an average of 203.5 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 56th spot with 27.7 points per game.
This season, the Wildcats’ defense has yielded an average of 110.4 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 182nd. Opponents have an average of 238.3 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 96.7 when facing Kentucky. They are currently 65th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
The Wildcats’ ended with 34 pass attempts vs South Carolina, racking up 171 yards and one score. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.7 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
Louisville Cardinals
Even though Louisville trailed by five heading into the 4th quarter, they still managed to come back and take down Miami by a score of 38-31.
Against the spread, Louisville has gone 5-5 this season. The Cardinals have been favored eight times compared to one game as the underdog.
Through 11 games, the average over/under line in Louisville’s games is 49.8 points.
Their games have averaged a combined 51.5 points leading to an OU record of 5-5.
Louisville Cardinals Stats
The Cardinals come into their matchup vs. Kentucky 42nd in college football at 405 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 187.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 25th nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 28.5 times each game, accumulating an average of 256.3 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 25th, with 33.2 points per game.
Through the air, the Cardinals’ attempted 37 passes against Miami, gaining 308 yards and securing three scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 4.8 yards per carry, resulting in two rushing touchdowns.
Ranked 125th in passing yards allowed per game, Louisville’s defense gets ready to take on Kentucky. Opponents have attempted an average of 30.9 passes per game against the Cardinals.
They’re allowing 18.4 points per contest, placing them 64th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 20th in the NCAA.
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Wildcats are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Cardinals are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Wildcats are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wildcats’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Cardinals’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Kentucky vs. Louisville Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Wildcats | +228 | +224 | +7 | +7 |
Cardinals | -285 | -280 | -7 | -7 |
4* Free Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Kentucky +7
#9 Louisville is set to clash with Kentucky this Saturday in a game that’s got me excited. The Cardinals are the favorites, with a 7.5-point advantage over the Wildcats. The total points expected in the game is 50.5.
Louisville’s last game ended in a 38-31 victory against the Miami Hurricanes, while Kentucky suffered a 17-14 loss to the South Carolina Gamecocks in their latest outing.
It’s shaping up to be an intriguing matchup!
Even though I have Louisville winning this one straight-up, I’d stick to the moneyline. Look for this to be a closer game than expected with Louisville eventually pulling out a win over Kentucky.
Defensively, Kentucky looked good in their most recent game vs. South Carolina. For this week’s best bet, I like Kentucky to cover with the line currently sitting at +7. For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Kentucky and Louisville combining for 51 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 51.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
I discovered some college football betting trends that give me confidence in my picks for this week. Kentucky has been performing well, going 5-1 against the spread (ATS) and 5-1 straight up (SU) in their last six matchups against Louisville.
Additionally, they’ve maintained a perfect 6-0 SU record when facing ACC opponents.
On the other hand, Louisville hasn’t fared as well, with a 1-7 ATS record in their last eight games against teams from the SEC conference.
Furthermore, Kentucky has seen the total points go under in six of their last eight road games. These trends suggest that Kentucky might be a strong bet this week, and it’s worth considering when making your college football wagers.
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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
#GoCards
Rocking all red 🔴#GoCards x #ForTheVille pic.twitter.com/a1ZKuSYUcV
— Louisville Football (@LouisvilleFB) November 22, 2023
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