Free NCAA Pick: Kent State vs. UCF Odds
Looking for Kent State Golden Flashes vs. UCF Knights free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Golden Flashes taking on the Knights on Thursday, August 31st at the FBC Mortgage Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Kent State UCF matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Kent State Golden Flashes vs. UCF Knights (0-0)
Date: Thursday, August 31st
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: FBC Mortgage Stadium
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Kent State +37 | UCF -37
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Kent State OFF | UCF OFF
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58.5
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These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, UCF has gone 2-1. The over/under record in these games was 1-2 with the teams averaging 60 points per game combined. UCF went 2-1 vs. the spread.
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Kent State Golden Flashes
Kent State will be looking to put together a better season this year, as last year’s team did not qualify for a bowl game at 5-7. In non-conference play, the Golden Flashes were 1-6 while in Mid-American – East action, the Golden Flashes were 4-1.
Overall they finished 8th in the Mid-American – East.
Kent State Golden Flashes Stats
Kent State is coming into the season needing to replace the production of Collin Schlee who was the team’s leading passer. Last year he threw for 2109 passing yards on a passer rating of 92.
Kent State’s top returning wide receiver is Trell Harris, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 136 on 13 receptions. Gavin Garcia is Kent State’s top returning rusher with 211 rushing yards last year.
When looking at how Kent State got after the quarterback last year, they were 24th in sacks and 40th in QB hurries.
Overall, they allowed an average of 29 points per game, putting them 109th in the NCAA.
UCF Knights
UCF’s season ended in a 30-13 loss Duke in the Military Bowl. The team’s overall record for the season was 9-5. This included finishing 4-3 at home and 5-2 at home. In Big 12 action, they were 1-0.
UCF Knights Stats
UCF is bringing back last year’s leading passer, John Rhys Plumlee. A year ago he threw for 2586 yards and 14 touchdowns. His passer rating for the season was 89.
UCF’s top returning wide receiver is Javon Baker, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 796 on 56 receptions. RJ Harvey is UCF’s top returning rusher with 796 rushing yards last year.
Defensively, the Knights allowed an average of 222.3 passing yards per game (84.0) and 158.7 rushing yards per contest, which was 98.0 in the NCAA. For the season, they were ranked 30th in sacks (21) and quarterbacks put together a passer rating of 81.1 against the UCF defense.
Overall, the Knights gave up an average of 23.6 points per contest (100th).
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. UCF Knights NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Golden Flashes are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Knights are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Golden Flashes are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Knights have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Golden Flashes’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Knights’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Kent State vs. UCF Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Flashes | +460 | +460 | +33.5 | +33.5 |
| Knights | -670 | -670 | -33.5 | -33.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Kent State +37
Despite UCF coming off a season in which they covered the spread in over half of their games, I don’t see there being enough value to take them at -37.
Instead, my money is going on Kent State at +37.
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Kent State Golden Flashes vs. UCF Knights NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Almost that time pic.twitter.com/FF5Axfeokm
— UCF Football (@UCF_Football) August 27, 2023
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