Free Week 11 Prediction: Golden Flashes vs. Rockets Odds
Looking for Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo Rockets free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Golden Flashes taking on the Rockets Tuesday, November 5th at Glass Bowl Stadium, Toledo, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Kent State Toledo Week 11 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(3-5) Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo Rockets (5-3)
Date: Tuesday, November 5th, 2019
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Glass Bowl Stadium, Toledo, Ohio
NCAA Football Spread: Toledo -7.5
NCAA Betting Total: 60.0
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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Week eleven of the college football season will kick off with a Tuesday night battle between two teams from the MAC Conference. In this matchup, the Toledo Rockets will host the Kent State Golden Flashes.
The Rockets have won four years in a row against the Golden Flashes, including a 56-34 victory in 2018.
Kent State Golden Flashes
Kent State is coming off their bye week, but have still lost two games in a row. They are chasing the Miami (Ohio) Redhawks in the East division of the MAC and having just lost to them, it makes winning this game a must. They are also three wins away to becoming bowl eligible too, so that is likely to be something they come to play for.
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The Golden Flashes are not exactly an electric offense, averaging just 23.9 points per game. This ranks 100th in the country. Having said that, they have played much better against teams from their own conference. Against the MAC, they are averaging 35.5 points per game.
If there is anything to like about this offense, it should be the play of their quarterback, Dustin Crum. He has thrown for 1,345 yards, 10 touchdowns and just 1 interception. Crum is also the leading rusher for the Golden Flashes, so his performance is the key.
Defensively, the Golden Flashes are a below average team. Their run defense has been horrible this season, allowing an average of 250.9 yards per game. Against MAC opponents, their run defense has been better, but they still allow 192.3 yards per game.
In terms of points allowed, the Golden Flashes allow 30.9 per game this season overall. Again, it is not fair to judge this defense based on games where they played Power 5 schools, so against just MAC foes, they allow 22.8 points per game.
Toledo Rockets
The Rockets are also coming off a bye week, but they are coming off a win over Eastern Michigan. They are chasing Ball State in the MAC West, so this game is a must win for the Rockets too. Keep in mind that the Rockets lost to Ball State a few weeks ago 52-14, making it even more important that they win this game.
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The offense relies on one thing this season and that is the ability to run the football. They are the 13th best rushing offense in the country, averaging 245 yards per game.
Their top running back, Bryant Koback, has rushed for 985 yards on 150 carries and 10 touchdowns this season. He is coming off a 259 yard rushing performance against Eastern Michigan and will be the key to this Rockets offense having success.
Defensively, the Rockets are having a tough time slowing down their opponents. They have allowed 20 or more points in all but one game this season. This one game was against FCS opponent, Murray State, where they held the Racers to 0.
Overall this season, the Rockets are allowing 28 points per game. Against MAC opponents, this average goes up to 32.5 points per game. With that having been said, slowing down the Kent State quarterback is the only way the Rockets are going to avoid an upset.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 13-6 in TOL last 19 games in November.
- Kent State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
Toledo has dominated this Golden Flashes team recently and I believe they will win this game as well due to their rushing attack.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Kent State Golden Flashes +7.5
The Golden Flashes have a solid quarterback under center and I think he will do enough to keep this game within one score. I will take Kent State plus the points as my pick.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Kent State 24 – Toledo 28
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