Free Week 4 Prediction: Wildcats vs. Sooners Odds
Looking for Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners free picks? Week 4 betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Sooners on Saturday, September 26th at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Kansas State Oklahoma Week 4 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 4
(0-1) Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners (1-0)
Date: Saturday, September 26th, 2020
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
NCAA Football Spread: Sooners -27.5
NCAA Betting Total: 60.5
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Even though it is week four both of these teams have only played a game each, so there is not a ton of data to go on.
What we do know is that Oklahoma looked like what we expected they would in their win while Kansas State looked bad in their loss.
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This is a very big number for the Sooners to cover. Based on what we have seen so far though it might not be big enough.
Kansas State Wildcats
K-State won 8 games a year ago in the debut season of coach Chris Klieman. Things were expected to dip this season but a home loss to Arkansas State as a little too much of a dip.
The shocking part of the loss was the defense. 6 of 7 starters returned from the second best passing defense in the conference a year ago and they were shredded by the Red Wolves. Not a good sign taking on the Sooners.
Nor is the questionable status of quarterback Skylar Thompson. They need his mobility and experience and if he can’t suit up there is not much experience behind him. Freshman Will Howard threw one pass in the opener.
Relying on the running game would be the way to go but they did not have much success with that against Arkansas State so expecting more against Oklahoma is probably not reasonable.
Last year, when they had the second best defense in the conference the Wildcats gave up 48 points to Oklahoma. This year they are nowhere near that good yet so this one could get ugly.
Oklahoma Sooners
It was against an FCS opponent so you have to temper your reaction but Oklahoma looked like they should have in their lone game this season.
Best of all Spencer Rattler looks very deserving of the line of quarterbacks who have excelled in Lincoln Riley’s offensive system. He is not the runner the last two guys were but his arm talent is amazing.
The defense did not yield a point in the opener but that is where they need to continue to improve. They did not give up a ton of yards a year ago but they did give up a lot of points, including 41 in a win over KSU last season.
There is some buzz with OU here but only to see if we can believe what we saw with the Sooners in their opener. On offense I am not expecting any disappointments.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- KSU are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Under is 15-5-1 in KSU last 21 conference games.
- Under is 8-3 in KSU last 11 games in September.
- OKLA are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Over is 11-4-1 in OKLA last 16 games in September.
- Over is 12-5-1 in OKLA last 18 home games.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Pick
This is a big number but one that Oklahoma is more than capable of covering. It is going up too and I would not be surprised to see it reach at least 28.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Oklahoma -27.5
Normally I would never look at so much chalk but I am very worried about the QB situation with the Wildcats. Thompson is alright but beyond him it could get very messy. If Oklahoma has short fields they will score that much sooner.
Oklahoma has the depth to build a big lead and add to it incrementally throughout the second half. I don’t expect them to be pushed after 0-0
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