Free NCAA Pick: Iowa State vs. Miami Odds
Looking for Iowa State Cyclones vs. Miami Hurricanes free NCAA Pop-Tarts Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cyclones taking on the Hurricanes on Saturday, December 28th at the Camping World Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Iowa State Miami Pop-Tarts Bowl matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Pop-Tarts Bowl
2024 Pop-Tarts Bowl
(10-3) Iowa State Cyclones vs. Miami Hurricanes (10-2)
Date: Saturday, December 28th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
Pop-Tarts Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Iowa State +1 | Miami -1
Pop-Tarts Bowl CFB Moneyline Odds: Iowa State -106 | Miami -114
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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ABC will be covering the 3:30 ET kickoff of the Pop-Tarts Bowl, where the Miami Hurricanes are technically the home team, but the game is being played at Camping World Stadium in Orlando as a neutral site.
Miami comes in with a 10-2 record, while Iowa State is 10-3.
The point spread is tight, with Miami -1. The over/under line is at 53.5 points.
Iowa State Cyclones
With a 10-3 record, Iowa State heads into their Pop-Tarts Bowl matchup against Miami. They’ve gone 5-1 at home and 4-2 on the road this season. The Cyclones have been favored in 11 of their 13 games, going 8-3 as the favorite.
Iowa State’s ATS record stands at 7-5, and they have an average scoring margin of +8.7 points per game. They are 6-5 against the spread as the favorite and have covered in four of six home games.
This week’s over/under line is set at 53.5 points. Iowa State’s games have averaged 51.8 points, with their average over/under line at 48.6 points.
They have a 7-5 record against the over/under this season.
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Iowa State Cyclones Stats
Heading into the 2024 Pop-Tarts Bowl, Iowa State’s offense is averaging 30.2 points per game, ranking 39th in the nation.
They are 38th in our offensive power rankings. The Cyclones have focused on their passing game, ranking 20th in passing yards per game with 254.6, and 23rd in passing attempts.
Rocco Becht leads the team with 3,235 passing yards and 22 touchdowns, though he has thrown 9 interceptions. His passer rating is 92. Carson Hansen leads the rushing attack with 670 yards and 11 touchdowns. Jayden Higgins has 1,183 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns on 87 catches.
Despite ranking 36th in the nation by allowing 21.5 points per game, Iowa State’s defense struggled in their recent game, giving up 45 points in a 45-19 loss to Arizona State.
They allowed 467 total yards, including 248 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, while also surrendering 219 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.
Opposing quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of just 69 against Iowa State, completing 53.3% of their passes for an average of 161.7 yards per game, the 10th-lowest mark in the country.
However, Iowa State’s defense has had trouble stopping the run, ranking last in the nation by allowing 182.5 rushing yards per game.
Miami Hurricanes
Miami enters this bowl game with a 10-2 record, going 5-0 at home and 4-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in 11 of their 12 games, posting a 9-2 record as the favorite.
The Hurricanes have an average scoring margin of +20.2 points per game and are 6-5 against the spread this season.
This week’s over/under line is set at 53.5 points. Miami’s games have averaged 68.1 points, with an average over/under line of 59.5 points.
Miami Hurricanes Stats
Miami’s offense has been the best in college football heading into this one, leading the nation in points per game with 44.2. They also sit atop our offensive power rankings.
Their passing game is their strength, ranking 2nd in passing yards per game with 359.2. They are 8th in completions, averaging 25.9 per game, and have the top third-down conversion rate at 56.5%.
Cam Ward leads the offense with 4,123 passing yards and a passer rating of 118. He has thrown 36 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, completing 67.4% of his passes. Xavier Restrepo has 1,127 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. Miami averages 179.8 rushing yards per game.
Miami’s defense is ranked 40th nationally, allowing 23.9 points per game. They’ve given up 209.8 passing yards per game, ranking 73rd, with a 56.9% completion rate, which is 35th best in the country.
Against the run, Miami is ranked 25th, allowing just 111.8 yards per game on 29.4 attempts, the 16th fewest in the nation.
In their recent game against Syracuse, Miami’s defense allowed 42 points and 482 total yards, including 380 passing yards and three passing touchdowns. They also gave up 102 rushing yards on 32 attempts.
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Iowa State Cyclones are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Miami Hurricanes are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Iowa State Cyclones are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Miami Hurricanes have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Iowa State Cyclones’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Miami Hurricanes’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free Pop-Tarts Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Miami -1
Miami is the -1 point favorite, and we have them winning 30-24, which would put this game over the current point total line.
Our combined score projection for this Pop-Tarts Bowl matchup between Miami and Iowa State is 54, which makes the over (53.5) a slight lean play.
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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
GAME WEEK 🙌
🏆: @poptartsbowl
🆚: Iowa State
🗓️: December 28th
📍: Orlando, Florida
⏰: 3:30 PM ET
📺: ABC
🎧: @560wqam #GoCanes pic.twitter.com/3GFnYg3xM8— Miami Hurricanes Football (@CanesFootball) December 24, 2024
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