Free NCAA Pick: Iowa vs. Penn State Odds
Looking for Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Hawkeyes taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, September 23rd at the Beaver Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Iowa Penn State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(3-0) Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Beaver Stadium
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Iowa +14.5 | Penn State -14.5
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Iowa +488 | Penn State -695
College Football Betting Total: O/U 41
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In the highly anticipated showdown between the #22 ranked Iowa Hawkeyes (3-0) and the #7 ranked Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0), college football fans are gearing up for the legendary White Out Game at Beaver Stadium, set to kick off on CBS.
The betting odds tell an intriguing story: the moneyline favors Penn State at -630, while Iowa stands at +450. When it comes to the spread, Iowa is a +14 underdog, while Penn State is favored by -14, with the over/under set at 40.5 points.
Notably, Iowa boasts a 2-1 ATS record in 2023, while Penn State boasts a perfect 3-0 ATS record.
In the Coaches Poll, Iowa holds the #22 spot, while Penn State is #7. Historically, the Nittany Lions lead the all-time series 17-14, but the Hawkeyes emerged victorious in their last clash, securing a 23-20 win on October 9, 2021, in Iowa City.
These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Iowa has gone 3-0. Against the spread, Iowa went 2-0 in these matchups.
On the over/under, the teams went 2-0 combining for 71 points per contest.
For expert insights on this thrilling matchup, make sure to stay tuned to our College football handicapping blog!
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Iowa Hawkeyes
Even though the Hawkeyes’ trailed by a score of 7-0 after the first quarter, Iowa managed to come back and beat the Broncos 41-10.
Iowa’s record vs. the spread this season is a perfect 3-0. So far, they have been the underdog in all three of their games and have a scoring differential of +16.
Iowa has put together an over/under record of 1-2 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 40.7 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 40.7 points.
Iowa Hawkeyes Stats
On offense, Iowa comes into the game averaging 28.3, which is 48th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 150.7 passing yards (116th) compared to 70th in rushing yards.
For the season, they are averaging 108 rushing attempts per contest.
The Hawkeyes defense comes into the game with three sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 12.3 points per game (15th).
When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 46th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 179.3 passing yards per game. Additionally, Iowa’s run defense comes in allowing 106.7 rushing yards per contest.
The Hawkeyes’ finished with 22 pass attempts vs. Western Michigan, accumulating 133 yards and two scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 5.9 yards per carry and notched three rushing touchdowns.
Penn State Nittany Lions
The Nittany Lions’ last game was a matchup vs. Illinois, ending in a 30-13 win for Penn State.
So far, the Nittany Lions are a perfect 1-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of +32. When looking at their previous betting lines, they have been the underdog in all of their games.
Across three games, the average over/under line in Penn State’s matchups is 49 points.
These games have seen an average combined score of 55.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 1-0.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Penn State’s rushing attack is ranked 13th in college football with 135 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 208.3 rushing yards per game, placing them 26th nationally.
On average, they are attempting 32.7 passes per game leading to 259 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 14th position, averaging 43.7 points per game.
The Nittany Lions’ passing game featured 37 pass attempts for 219 yards and one score vs. Illinois. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.1 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
On defense, the Nittany Lions defense has 10 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, team’s are scoring 11.7 points per game against them (13th). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 35th in the NCAA, allowing 170.7 passing yards per game.
Moreover, Penn State’s run defense is allowing 96.7 rushing yards per contest.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Hawkeyes are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Nittany Lions are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Hawkeyes are 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Nittany Lions have gone 6-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Hawkeyes’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Nittany Lions’ have an over/under record of 2-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Iowa vs. Penn State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawkeyes | +500 | +492 | +14 | +14.5 |
| Nittany Lions | -715 | -735 | -14 | -14.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Iowa +14.5
The Penn State passing game has faced issues with turnovers. Also, Iowa are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road, and are 4-1 SU in their L5 vs. teams from the Big 10.
As the underdogs are away, my pick is Iowa to cover the spread at +14.5.
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
There's nothing like the Penn State White Out.#TheGreatestShowInCollegeSports pic.twitter.com/iTEmvQfkMS
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) September 18, 2023
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