Free NCAA Football Prediction: Hawkeyes vs. Buckeyes Odds
Looking for Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes free picks? College football betting sees the Hawkeyes taking on the Buckeyes on Saturday, October 22 at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 8 predictions like this Hawkeyes Buckeyes free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(3-3) Iowa Hawkeyes Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0)
Date: Saturday, October 22, 2022
Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, Ohio
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: IOWA +28 | OSU -28 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Hawkeyes +1525 | Buckeyes -10000
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 49
This is a matchup the Ohio State Buckeyes have been waiting five years for.
Back in 2017, Iowa shocked Buckeye Nation—and I mean stick-a-fork-straight-in-the-outlet shocked. Ohio State, with its eyes on the College Football Playoffs, waltzed into Kinnick Stadium as the No. 5 team in the nation and crawled out with its tail between its legs on the wrong side of a 55-24 trouncing.
Kinnick Stadium does have a reputation for showing up, showing out and playing the role of spoiler late in seasons.
This time around, the Buckeyes have home-field advantage, all the momentum and Buckeye Nation will have revenge on the mind.
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa enters this game with as drastic a disparity between offensive and defensive rankings as any team in the nation.
Offensively, the Hawkeyes are 127th in scoring, 127th in rushing and 120th in passing. What does that add up to? A 131st ranking in total offense.
Defensively is where this team is making its mark. So far this season, the Hawkeyes are giving up just 9.8 points per game. That number is good enough for 3rd in all of college football, putting them behind only the No. 18 Illinois Fighting Illini (6-1) and the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (7-0).
Breaking it down, Iowa clocks in at 24th in rushing defense, 3rd in passing defense and 7th in total defense.
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State also enters this game as a top-10 defense. On the year, the Buckeyes are giving up just 15.7 points per game.
The difference, of course, is that Ohio State is an elite offensive powerhouse. The team collects an average 315.7 yards per game through the air—good enough for 15th—and 228 on the ground—also good enough for 15th.
Add it all up and the Buckeyes are posting 48.8 points per game, which puts them at No. 1 in the nation, and they have an average margin of victory of 29.1—just about a point higher than the opening line of -28.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Hawkeyes are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 5-0 in Hawkeyes last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Buckeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Free Week 8 NCAA Football Final Analysis:
Despite Ohio State’s disastrous loss at Iowa five years ago, the Buckeyes have owned this series winning 15 of the last 17 head-to-head matchups straight up.
Getting a win straight up should not be a challenge this time around. But covering a 28-point spread or reaching the over could be, considering Iowa’s defense is very real.
4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Pick: -28
If you have enough faith in Iowa’s defense to pick them ATS and/or go with the under, you won’t get much of a fight here. That’s a team motivated to shut down each and every one of its opponents—and a team actually doing it despite a .500 record straight up.
The catch is that Ohio State is not just any team. This is the top offense in the nation, and one with a home-field advantage focused not just on a national title chase but on revenge five years in the making.
Believing in Iowa’s defense is legitimate. But at this point, having more faith in Ohio State to dominate both sides of the ball makes too much sense.
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