Free Week 5 Prediction: Hoosiers vs. Spartans Odds
Looking for Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartans free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Hoosiers taking on the Spartans on Saturday, September 28th, 2019 at Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Indiana Michigan State Week 5 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(3-1) Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartans (3-1)
Date: Saturday, September 28th, 2019
Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan
NCAA Football Spread: Spartans -14
NCAA Betting Total: 44.0
Live CFB Odds
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This week five matchup will see the Indiana Hooisers take on the Michigan State Spartans. This is a Big Ten conference game and a spot where both teams need a win.
Especially Indiana, who already have one loss in the conference standings.
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Last season the Spartans beat the Hoosiers 35-21.
Indiana Hoosiers
The Hoosiers are coming off a blowout win over Connecticut. The score to this game was 38-3. The Huskies made the Hoosiers look good, but in reality, that is not the case.
The good thing about the Hoosiers is their passing offense. They throw for an average of 308.5 yards per game. This ranks 20th in the country.
They are scoring a decent amount of points at 33.5 per game. However, we saw how much they struggled against Ohio State, only managing to score 10. That said, Michigan State is not on the same level as Ohio State, but they are both Big Ten teams and the Spartans still have a ton of talent.
Besides the game against the Buckeyes, the Hoosiers defense has been solid. This is a problem however, because the Spartans are better than all of the cupcake teams that Indiana have dismantled.
The Spartans are a pass first team, an area where the Hoosiers have performed the best defensively. They allow 167.5 yards passing per game. This ranks 21st in the country and will be the biggest key to shutting down the Spartans offense.
Michigan State Spartans
The Spartans got back on track last week when they went on the road and destroyed Northwestern.
They are now 1-0 in the Big Ten since their one loss came to non-conference opponent, Arizona State.
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Their offense has been nothing special this year. They score an average of 29.2 points per game. However, this only ranks 73rd in the country. Against Power 5 opponents, they are averaging just 19 points per game.
On the defensive side of the ball, this Spartans team is rock solid. They allow an average of 11 points per game this season, ranking 11th in the country.
Their biggest strength on defense is their run stopping ability. They allow an average of 52.5 rushing yards per game. This is 4th in the country.
If there is any weakness to this defense, it would have to be in their pass coverage. However, they allow just 176 yards per game through the air, so in reality, it is not that much of a weakness.
The key to this game will be taking away the Hoosiers ability to throw the ball. If they do that, they will shutdown this offense completely. If they get beat in the secondary, the Hoosiers could keep this game close with their explosive wide receiving core.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 7-1 in MSU last 8 conference games.
- Under is 10-2 in MSU last 12 games overall.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
I like the Spartans at home to keep pace in the Big Ten East division. They cannot afford another loss, especially with Ohio State and Wisconsin coming up on the schedule in the next few weeks.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UNDER 44.0
The Indiana defense got torched by the Buckeyes, but the Spartans are nowhere near that explosive when they have the ball. I like the under in this game and I think Michigan State will be able to keep this one very low scoring with how they defend the run.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: Indiana 13 – Michigan State 24
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