Free NCAA Pick: Illinois vs. Purdue Odds
Looking for Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakers free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Fighting Illini taking on the Boilermakers on Saturday, September 30th at the Ross-Ade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Illinois Purdue matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(2-2) Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakers (1-3)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Illinois +1.0 | Purdue -1
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Illinois -105 | Purdue -117
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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The most recent matchup between these teams finished with a 31-24 win for the Purdue. Purdue’s rushing attack finished with 142 rushing yards and averaged 4.3 yards per attempt.
Defensively, they gave up 303 yards of offense to Illinois.
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Illinois Fighting Illini
The Illinois Fighting Illini last faced off against Florida Atlantic and picked up a 23-17 win. They ended up winning by 6 despite letting Florida Atlantic cut into their 23-point leading going into the 4th.
Illinois has gone into two games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog.
Their ATS record is currently 2-2.
This season, Illinois holds an over/under record of 1-2-1. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 49.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 48.9 points.
Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Purdue, the Fighting Illini’s offense is averaging 148 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 70th rank in rushing yards and 70th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 246.8 yards per game.
In terms of scoring, Illinois is at 22.2 points per game, which is 68th in the NCAA.
Looking at this week’s game, the Illinois defense stands at 75th in points allowed, permitting 27.2 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 245.5 passing yards per game against them (120th).
They’re conceding 177.2 rushing yards, ranking them 123rd in college football.
In the passing game, the Fighting Illini threw the ball 36 times for 303 and one score against Florida Atlantic.
On the ground, they averaged 5.0 yards per carry and finished with two rushing touchdowns
Purdue Boilermakers
The Boilermakers could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. Wisconsin, as they trailed 14-3 after the first period. Purdue ended up dropping the game 38-17.
Against the spread, Purdue has gone 1-3 this season. The Boilermakers have been favored two times compared to one game as the underdog.
So far in this season, Purdue has posted an over/under record of 2-2.
On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 56.2 points, with the typical over/under line set at 51.6 points.
Purdue Boilermakers Stats
The Boilermakers’ heads into the game, averaging 140.5 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 76th in rushing yards and 76th in passing yards at 256.8 yards per contest.
Purdue is averaging 24 points per game, which is 63rd in the nation.
The Boilermakers’ offense scored two rushing touchdowns vs. Wisconsin while gaining 194 rushing yards on 31 attempts. Unfortunately, their passing game couldn’t find the endzone and concluded with 202 yards from 38 pass attempts.
The Boilermakers’ defense has given up 148.2 rushing yards per game this season, which is 98th. Opponents are recording an average of 255.8 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 76.5 when playing against Purdue.
In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 20th in NCAA rankings.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Fighting Illini are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Fighting Illini are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Boilermakers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Fighting Illini’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.
- The Boilermakers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Illinois vs. Purdue Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fighting Illini | -109 | -105 | +1 | +1 |
| Boilermakers | -112 | -117 | -1 | -1 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Illinois +1
Wrong team favored.
Illinois are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. Purdue are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
I’m liking Illinois as 1.0-point underdogs to cover the spread for this matchup. Illinois had a strong showing in their previous game, especially in the running game against Wisconsin.
My model has this one at 55 points total, so play the OVER 53.5, plus I believe Illinois will maintain their current form, and therefore I’m betting on Illinois before kickoff.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue’s last 6 games.
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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The D is gettin’ after it!
No fly zone ❌
9️⃣ straight games with an INT for the Boilermakers! The longest active streak in the nation #BoilerUp pic.twitter.com/idwOMkjbYC
— Purdue Football (@BoilerFootball) September 27, 2023
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