Free NCAA Pick: Illinois vs. Penn State Odds
Looking for Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Fighting Illini taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, September 28th at the Beaver Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Illinois Penn State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(4-0) Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0)
Date: Saturday, September 28th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Illinois +17.5 | Penn State -17.5
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Illinois +615 | Penn State -972
College Football Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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At 7:30 ET, Penn State will host Illinois at Beaver Stadium in University Park. The Nittany Lions are favored by -17.5 points in this week five matchup. Both teams are undefeated, with Illinois coming in at 4-0 and Penn State at 3-0. The over/under line is currently set at 47.5 points. You can catch this game on NBC.
As the Illinois Fighting Illini head into this matchup against the Penn State Nittany Lions, history favors Penn State, who holds a commanding 21-6 lead in the series. The Illini have managed to start 4-0 just four times since the AP poll era began in 1936, and they’re in the middle of a grueling stretch, facing their third ranked opponent in just four games. In fact, Illinois is on track to play five ranked teams in a span of seven games.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois is now 4-0 after pulling off a road upset over Nebraska. The Illini, who were +9.5 point underdogs, not only won the game but also covered the spread. The over/under line was set at 42.5 points, and the teams combined for 55 points, surpassing the total.
After trailing 10-7 at the end of the first quarter, Illinois fell behind 17-10 by halftime. The Illini rallied to tie the game at 17-17 by the end of the third quarter, and after the teams traded touchdowns in the fourth quarter, Illinois outscored Nebraska 7-0 in overtime to remain unbeaten.
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Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
Illinois’ offense was led by quarterback Luke Altmyer in their 31-24 overtime win, with Altmyer throwing for 215 yards and four touchdowns, completing 77.8% of his passes. Pat Bryant was his top target, catching five passes for 74 yards.
The Fighting Illini’s offense totaled 383 yards, with 168 yards coming on the ground. Kaden Feagin led the team in rushing with 69 yards on 12 carries.
Illinois’ defense will be looking to improve after allowing 297 passing yards and three touchdowns in their most recent game against Nebraska. The Illini gave up a total of 347 yards and 24 completions on 35 pass attempts. Despite these struggles, Illinois did come up with one interception. On the ground, the Illini were more effective, holding Nebraska to just 50 rushing yards on 32 attempts.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State is now 3-0 after a 56-0 win over Kent State. The Nittany Lions, who were -49 point favorites, covered the spread and won by exactly 56 points. The game’s over/under was 57.5 points, but Penn State’s defense held Kent State scoreless, resulting in the under hitting.
Penn State took a 7-0 lead in the first quarter and then exploded for 21 points in the second quarter, putting them up 28-0 at halftime. The Nittany Lions added 14 points in the third quarter and another 14 in the fourth quarter to secure the 56-0 victory.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Quarterback Drew Allar led Penn State’s offense to a 56-0 win, throwing for 409 yards and five touchdowns. He completed 81% of his passes, earning a passer rating of 158.33. Omari Evans was his top target, catching four passes for 116 yards.
The Nittany Lions’ offense was unstoppable, racking up 718 total yards. The ground game was effective, with 309 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Nicholas Singleton led the team in rushing, gaining 81 yards on 11 carries.
Penn State’s defense was dominant in their most recent game, holding Kent State to just 71 total yards. The Nittany Lions allowed only 18 passing yards on 2 completions, and Kent State’s ground game was limited to 53 yards on 29 attempts. Penn State’s defense didn’t allow a single point and gave up just six first downs in the game.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Illinois Fighting Illini are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Illinois Fighting Illini are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Penn State Nittany Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Illinois Fighting Illini’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Penn State Nittany Lions’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Penn State -17.5
Penn State has been dominant at home, winning eight of their last ten games in Happy Valley. They’ve also won four of the last five meetings against Illinois. This game marks Penn State’s first Big Ten home opener since 2015, adding a layer of excitement for their fans.
Both teams have a lot at stake as they look to make their mark early in the Big Ten race.
Penn State is favored by -17.5 points in their week five matchup against Illinois, and we expect them to win comfortably, with a projected final score of 37-17 in their favor.
Given the over/under line of 47.5 points, our projection of 54 total points suggests that taking the over is the best bet. We see Penn State covering the spread while the combined score surpasses the line.
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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Cleared for takeoff 🛩️ pic.twitter.com/k6LgM42U0g
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) September 26, 2024
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