Free NCAA Pick: Illinois vs. Maryland Odds
Looking for Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Fighting Illini taking on the Terrapins on Saturday, October 14th at the SECU Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Illinois Maryland matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(2-4) Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins (5-1)
Date: Saturday, October 14th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
NCAA Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Illinois +14 | Maryland -14
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: Illinois +436 | Maryland -621
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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The Maryland Terrapins (5-1, 3-3 ATS) will play against the Illinois Fighting Illini (2-4, 0-6 ATS) this Saturday in college football. The game is happening in Week 7 of the 2023 NCAAF season. Maryland’s football team will have their Homecoming game on October 14th at SECU Stadium.
You can watch it on NBC and listen on the Maryland Sports Radio Network, starting at 3:30 p.m.
If you’re into betting (and we know you are), here are the odds: Illinois +14, Maryland -14, with a total points prediction of 53.5. The moneyline shows Illinois at +432 and Maryland at -602.
The Terps have had a great start this season, standing at 5-1, the best since 2013. They’ve also been strong at home, winning five consecutive games, including one against Rutgers last season.
These teams did not face off last season.
In their previous Big Ten meetings, Maryland has scored 83 points against Illinois’ 50.
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Illinois Fighting Illini
After trailing by -7 at halftime, Illinois could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 20-7 to Nebraska.
Against the spread, the Fighting Illini are still at 0-6 on an average scoring margin of -9.7. They have been favored three times this season and the underdog in two games.
After six games, the average over/under line in Illinois’ matches stands at 48.5 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 48 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-3-1.
Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
Illinois’ rushing attack is ranked 53rd in college football with 186 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 127 rushing yards per game, placing them 80th nationally.
On average, they are attempting 35.7 passes per game leading to 250.3 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 75th position, averaging 19.2 points per game.
The Illinois defense holds the 101st position in points allowed, allowing 28.8 points per game. Teams have an average of 225.5 passing yards per game against them (90th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 177.7 rushing yards, placing them 126th in college football.
The Fighting Illini’s offensive performance against Nebraska resulted in 310 yards of offense, with 21 gained on the ground and 289 through the air.
Their third-down conversion rate was 4/15, and they recorded one passing touchdown.
Maryland Terrapins
In Maryland’s most recent loss to Ohio State, the Terrapins faced a -10-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 37-17.
Maryland’s average scoring differential for the season is +17.8 leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. The Terrapins have been favored four times and the underdog in one games
So far this season, Maryland boasts an over/under record of 3-2.
On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 52.2 points, while the average over/under line has been 51.5 points.
Maryland Terrapins Stats
Maryland’s offense is averaging 35 points per game, which ranks them 18th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 280.5 passing yards on average, putting them at 22nd in the nation.
Their rushing attack is currently 58th in rushing yards, with an average of 191 rushing attempts per game this season.
In the passing game, the Terrapins threw the ball 41 times for 196 and one score against Ohio State. On the ground, they averaged 3.0 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
Looking at this week’s game, the Maryland defense stands at 55th in points allowed, permitting 17.2 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 229.8 passing yards per game against them (97th).
On the ground, they’re conceding 107.7 rushing yards, ranking them 34th in college football.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Fighting Illini are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Terrapins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Fighting Illini are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Terrapins have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Fighting Illini’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-0-1.
- The Terrapins’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Illinois vs. Maryland Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Fighting Illini | +480 | +436 | +14.5 | +14 |
Terrapins | -715 | -621 | -14.5 | -14 |
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: Illinois +14
Maryland’s offense has been below average when it comes down to third-down conversions. I’m not banking on a sudden improvement, and I’m leaning towards Illinois +14.
Illinois are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road.
I’m also making a small bet on the UNDER in this one. My model calls for 47 total points.
We’ve seen the total go UNDER in 4 of Illinois’ last 5 games.
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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Big 10 Action!
Press Conference! @CoachLocks speaks to the media prior to this week's Homecoming game against Illinois https://t.co/kKOLasqK7y
— Maryland Football (@TerpsFootball) October 10, 2023
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