Free Week 10 Prediction: Warriors vs Aztecs Odds
Looking for Hawaii Warriors vs. San Diego State Aztecs free picks? Week 10 College football betting sees the Warriors taking on the Aztecs Saturday November 6th at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(4-5) Hawaii Warriors vs. San Diego State Aztecs (7-1)
Date: Saturday, November 6th
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California
NCAA Football Spread: San Diego State -21.0
NCAA Betting Total: 54.0
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This MWC matchup features one of the best rushing attacks in the nation against one of the worst rushing defenses in the nation.
Both teams are in the hunt for bowl bids with Hawaii in desperation mode with a few games remaining while San Diego State will be aiming towards a bid in one of the top non-BCS games.
Despite what you might think, Hawaii has actually performed better on the road than at home.
With the trip to Hawaii further than most for opposing teams and the trip back to the mainland being a lengthy one, you would expect Hawaii to hold a home field advantage on travel arrangements alone.
However, the Warriors are just 2-2 at home and have some of the better performances on the road.
They have won at San Jose State and at Air Force – putting together arguably their only two good defensive performances all season.
It will be difficult to duplicate that solid defensive performance against the Aztecs though – as they have the 9th best rushing offense in the FBS.
On the flip side, Hawaii is allowing the 7th most rushing yards per game in the FBS. That matchup is a nightmare in itself.
But, it possibly gets worse for the Warriors. Hawaii’s offense has been more run focused than pass thus far. The Warriors are running the ball an average of 35 times per game.
San Diego State has the second best rushing defense in the FBS so that should be very detrimental to Hawaii’s gameplan.
And to complement, Hawaii’s passing attack has been very inconsistent with Dru Brown and Ikaika Woolsey teaming up to only complete 57 percent of their passes and average an interception per game.
San Diego State
While Donnel Pumphrey is in the midst of one of the all-time great college rushing careers, the Aztec rushing attack even extends beyond him.
Pumphrey leads the nation in rushing yards by over 300 yards. His 13 rushing touchdowns rank tied for 2nd amongst FBS running backs.
But even behind him, the Aztecs are still dominant on the ground. Rashaad Penny has carried the ball 83 times at 5.6 yards per carry with 6 rushing touchdowns.
Up against the weak Hawaii rush defense, I expect Pumphrey and Penny to go wild. 6 plus rushing touchdowns and 300 plus rushing yards between the two of them is not out of the question.
Despite this great rushing attack, arguably the best part of the Aztecs play lately has been their defense. They are allowing just 6.4 points per game over the last 4 games.
Their strong run defense too should be able to slow down the stronger part of Hawaii’s offense.
Even when teams know the Aztecs are going to run the ball, they still break off big runs. Last week against Utah State, the Aztecs were running just to maintain their big lead and the Aggies knew it.
They would have 9 or 10 guys in the box and Pumphrey or Penny would still break off 7 plus yard carries.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
• San Diego State is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a losing record.
• Hawaii is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
• San Diego State is 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
• Hawaii is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Free Week 10 NCAA Football Prediction
Hawaii should have no answer for Pumphrey and the Aztec rushing attack. And they will have quite the difficult time getting the ball moving against a red hot Aztec defense.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State -21.0
I expect the Aztecs to slowly build a lead and wear out the Warriors over the course of the game with their run game. The Aztecs will easily cover the three touchdowns.
Week 10 Free Score Prediction: San Diego State 41 – Hawaii 13
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