Free NCAA Pick: Fresno State vs. Purdue Odds
Looking for Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Purdue Boilermakers free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Boilermakers on Saturday, September 2nd at the Ross-Ade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Fresno State Purdue matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Purdue Boilermakers (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 2nd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Fresno State +4 | Purdue -4
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Fresno State +148 | Purdue -183
College Football Betting Total: O/U 47
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Last season, Fresno State and Purdue did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, Purdue has the leg up at 3-0. Against the spread, Purdue went 3-0 in these matchups. On the over/under, the teams went 2-1 combining for 48 points per contest.
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Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State wrapped up last season with a trip to the Jimmy Kimmel La Bowl and took down Washington State by a score of 29-6. In the Mountain West, the Bulldogs were 8-1, putting them in 2nd place. In the non-conference portion of their schedule, Fresno State was 2-3.
Fresno State Bulldogs Stats
Fresno State is coming into the season needing to replace the production of Jake Haener who was the team’s leading passer. Last year he threw for 2896 passing yards on a passer rating of 112.
In the running game, the Bulldogs’ leading returning running back is Malik Sherrod (junior) who ran for 433 yards last season. Fresno State’s top returning wide receiver is Erik Brooks. The senior caught 37 passes for 391 yards last season.
On the defensive side of the ball, Fresno State finished the season ranked 73rd in points allowed. For the season, opponents averaged 19.4 game. Overall, they were 31st in quarterback hurries and 21st in sacks. Opponents ran for 149.9 yards per game and threw for 189.3 against them.
Purdue Boilermakers
The Purdue Boilermakers are coming off a season in which they finished 4th in the Big Ten – West on a conference record of 3-2 and 8-6 overall. The Boilermakers ended their season with a 63-7 loss to the LSU Tigers in the Cheez-it Citrus Bowl. In non-conference play, Purdue went 4-4 last season.
Purdue Boilermakers Stats
At the quarterback position, the Boilermakers will need to replace the production of last year’s leading passer (Aidan O’Connell). For the season, he completed 64.2% of his passes for 3481 yards and 22 touchdowns.
In the running game, the Boilermakers’ leading returning running back is Devin Mockobee (redshirt sophomore) who ran for 968 yards last season. Purdue’s top returning wide receiver is TJ Sheffield. The redshirt senior caught 46 passes for 480 yards last season.
Last year’s Purdue defense gave up an average of 215 passing yards per game. This figure put them 70th in the country compared to a rush defense that was 72nd in the NCAA. Overall, they gave up an average of 27.4 (127th).
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Bulldogs are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Boilermakers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bulldogs are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Boilermakers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bulldogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Boilermakers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Fresno State vs. Purdue Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | +162 | +149 | +6 | +4 |
| Boilermakers | -200 | -185 | -6 | -4 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Purdue -4
On the spread, the bet that I’ll be getting down for this Purdue vs. Fresno State matchup is to take Purdue at -4. Last year, they were an above .500 team vs. the spread and should kick off the season with both a straight-up and ATS win.
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Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
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