Free Week 11 Prediction: Bulldogs vs Rainbow Warriors Odds
Looking for Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Rainbow Warriors Saturday November 11 at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu, Hawaii. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Bulldogs Rainbow Warriors free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(6-3) Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-6)
Date: Saturday, November 11
Time: 11:59 pm EST
Venue: Aloha Bowl, Honolulu, HI.
NCAA Football Spread: Fresno State -10
NCAA Betting Total: 52.5
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Fresno State Bulldogs
A loss to UNLV at home severely damaged Fresno State’s conference championship hopes, damage that may not be fully realized for another couple weeks, though.
At 4–0, the Bulldogs had a firm grip on the West Division over San Diego State but the Aztecs have done their part to keep it close and when Fresno State faltered two weeks ago, the door was left open.
FSU won last week against BYU but that was an out of conference matchup. Now, the Bulldogs finish with three games in the Mountain West, beginning with the easiest of the three: at Hawaii.
The Dogs are 10-point favorites on the road but then they have to take on the two toughest teams from the Mountain Division.
First, they go to Wyoming to play the 4–1 Cowboys and then they finish their regular season by hosting the 5–0 Boise State Broncos. San Diego State is half a game back of Fresno at the moment, but it looks like it could be the Aztecs’ to lose.
Still, the Bulldogs have only slipped up once in the conference so it’s tough to say they are done. The offense has to get back on track this week and the Rainbow Warriors are the right defense to do that against. Hawaii has given up 59 points in its last two games, both losses.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Hawaii battled last week at UNLV but came up one possession short, 31–23. Now, the Rainbow Warriors will duke it out with Nevada for the second and third worst positions in the West Division. San Jose State looks bound to finish in the cellar.
Dru Brown threw it 47 times in last week’s loss. He didn’t throw any interceptions but still just completed 24 of the 47 for a meager 269 yards, considering the volume.
Diocemy Saint Juste ran the ball well in the backfield. He carried it 20 times for 111 yards and a touchdown. He didn’t rely on a big play, either. Saint Juste ripped off four or five yards consistently with no single run greater than 20 yards.
Hawaii’s problem wasn’t moving the ball. It was converting in the red zone. Three times the Rainbow Warriors got into the red zone only to come away with field goals.
On the road, those have to be touchdowns.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- FRES are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
- FRES are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- HAW are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
- HAW are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.
- Over is 13-5 in HAW last 18 games as an underdog.
- Head to Head: Road team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
Fresno State shouldn’t lose this game but I’m not sure it will be a cake walk either.
I’ll take Hawaii at home with the points because that offense is still formidable and while the Rainbow Warriors might not have what it takes to win often on the road, they also don’t usually make mistakes that kill a team at home.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Hawaii +10
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Fresno State 24 – Hawaii 21
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