Free NCAA Pick: Florida State vs. Miami Odds
Looking for Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Seminoles taking on the Hurricanes on Saturday, October 26th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida State Miami matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(1-6) Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes (7-0)
Date: Saturday, October 26th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida State +21 | Miami -21
Week 9 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida State +904 | Miami -1775
College Football Betting Total: O/U 54.5
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Get ready for an electric Week 9 showdown in the Sunshine State as Florida State takes on Miami in one of college football’s most storied rivalries!
These two have been going at it since 1951, and while Miami holds the all-time edge in the series at 35-33, it’s the Seminoles riding a three-game win streak, including a nail-biter 27-20 victory last November.
ESPN will be covering this week nine college football matchup between the Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles, set for 7:00 ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.
The Hurricanes, who are 7-0 this season, are heavy -21-point favorites over the 1-6 Seminoles.
The over/under line is currently at 54.5 points.
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State enters Week 9 against Miami with a 1-6 record, ranked 68th in our power rankings. They have a 0.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Seminoles are 1-3 on the road and 0-3 at home this season.
Florida State has been favored in four of their seven games, going 1-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -10 points per game, and they are 2-5 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is 54.5 points. The Seminoles’ over/under record is 1-6, with an average line of 48.7 points and an average total of 40 points per game.
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Florida State Seminoles Stats
Heading into week 9, Florida State’s offense has struggled, ranking 120th in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 15 points per game, placing them 103rd nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is only 26.8%, and they rank last in passer rating. The Seminoles are 84th in passing yards, with 203.1 yards per game.
DJ Uiagalelei leads the team with 1,065 passing yards, but he has thrown six interceptions to just four touchdowns, giving him a passer rating of 67. Lawrance Toafili leads the rushing attack with 253 yards and two touchdowns. Ja’Khi Douglas has 354 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Florida State’s defense is ranked 53rd nationally, allowing 25 points per game. They have given up an average of 179.1 rushing yards per game, ranking 138th, and 198 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 98.3 and a 62% completion rate against the Seminoles.
In their recent game against Duke, Florida State’s defense allowed just 187 total yards, including 70 passing yards. They gave up 117 rushing yards on 32 attempts and allowed one rushing touchdown.
Miami Hurricanes
Miami enters Week 9 against Florida State with a perfect 7-0 record, placing them 10th in our power rankings. They are projected to be bowl-eligible and have a 44.2% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. The Hurricanes also have the third-best odds to make the playoff at 86.3%.
Miami has been favored in six of their seven games, going 6-0 as the favorite. They’ve averaged a +25.7 scoring margin this season and hold a 4-2 record against the spread.
Their over/under record stands at 5-0-1, with Miami games averaging 70.9 points. This week’s line is 54.5, below their average line of 57.4 points.
Miami Hurricanes Stats
Miami’s offense has been one of the best in college football this season, ranking 3rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. They are 2nd in points per game, scoring 48.3, and lead the nation in passing yards, averaging 388.4 yards per game. They also have the best third down conversion rate, converting 60.2% of their attempts.
Cam Ward leads the Hurricanes’ passing attack with 2,538 yards and 24 touchdowns. He has a passer rating of 126 and has completed 68.7% of his passes. Xavier Restrepo has 686 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. Miami is averaging 189.6 rushing yards per game.
Miami’s defense has been strong against the run this season, allowing just 93.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 12th nationally. They’ve faced the 6th fewest rushing attempts in the country, with opponents averaging 25.9 carries per game. In their last game, Miami held Louisville to 106 rushing yards but gave up 342 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air.
On average, Miami’s defense has allowed 214.1 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 56.2% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 68.1, the 16th lowest in the nation. Overall, Miami’s defense is giving up 22.6 points per game this season.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Florida State Seminoles are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Miami Hurricanes are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Florida State Seminoles are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Miami Hurricanes have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Florida State Seminoles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Miami Hurricanes’ have an over/under record of 2-0-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 9 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida State +21
This year, the Hurricanes come in hot at 7-0, but don’t sleep on Florida State keeping it tight—they’re +21 dogs, but history shows they play tough on the road against Miami, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to South Beach.
Miami’s got the edge, but Florida State has enough grit to make things interesting.
Our projections have Miami winning this matchup 35-28, but with Florida State as +21 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread. Miami is the heavy favorite, but we expect Florida State to keep it close enough to cover.
For the over/under, with the line set at 54.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 62 points, so we recommend taking the over.
Both teams can bring serious firepower, expect fireworks. Stay tuned for more picks and insight as we break down the action!
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Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
⚫️⚫️⚫️⚫️#GoCanes pic.twitter.com/PyZAhhqbZu
— Miami Hurricanes Football (@CanesFootball) October 23, 2024
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