Free NCAA Pick: Florida State vs. Florida Odds
Looking for Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Seminoles taking on the Gators on Saturday, November 25th at the Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida State Florida matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(11-0) Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators (5-6)
Date: Saturday, November 25th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
NCAA Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida State -6.5 | Florida +6.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida State -260 | Florida +210
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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The “Florida-Florida State rivalry.” One of my favorites!
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The last time Florida State and Florida faced off came last year, ending in a 45-38 win for Florida State. When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, Florida State ran for 227 yards while throwing for 270. As for Florida, they finished with 198 while running for 262.
A brief historical overview: The Gators hold a 37-27-2 advantage in the all-time series, boasting a remarkable nine consecutive wins from 1968 to 1976. The most significant victory in this rivalry occurred in 1973 when Florida triumphed 49-0, while the Seminoles’ largest margin of victory was in 1988 with a commanding 52-17 win.
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Florida State Seminoles
In their most recent game, Florida State matched up with North Alabama and came out on top with a 58-13 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Florida State held a 38-point lead.
Against the spread, Florida State has gone 5-4 this season.
The Seminoles have been favored eight times compared to one game as the underdog.
Heading into this week’s game, Florida State’s over/under record is 6-3. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +3.7 with their games averaging 57 points per game.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
In the rushing game, the Seminoles are currently 73rd in college football with 355 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 163.5 rushing yards per game, putting them 62nd nationally.
Their passing game has averaged 32.6 passes and 289.4 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 7th, averaging 40.1 points per game.
The Florida State defense holds the 58th position in points allowed, allowing 16.9 points per game. Teams have an average of 183.5 passing yards per game against them (33rd nationally).
In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 139.8 rushing yards, placing them 61st in college football.
Offensively, the Seminoles finished with five scores on the ground against North Alabama while running for 248 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Florida State scored two times and threw the ball 30 times for 273 yards.
Florida Gators
This week, Florida will be looking for another big game from their offense, but some better defensive play as they most recently loss to Missouri 33-31.
Florida has gone into two games as the favorite this season and seven games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-5.
So far in this season, Florida has posted an over/under record of 6-3.
On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 57.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 51.5 points.
Florida Gators Stats
The Gators come into their matchup vs. Florida State 63rd in college football at 374 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 155.3 rushing yards per game, placing them 68th nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 33.9 times each game, accumulating an average of 272.7 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 46th, with 29.6 points per game.
The Gators’ passing game featured 26 pass attempts for 239 yards and two scores vs. Missouri. In the rushing department, they averaged 6.5 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
This season, the Gators’ defense has yielded an average of 163.5 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 105th. Opponents have an average of 235.1 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 101.5 when facing Florida.
They are currently 42nd in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Seminoles are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Gators are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Seminoles are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Gators have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Seminoles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Gators’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Florida State vs. Florida Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Seminoles | -267 | -261 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
Gators | +215 | +208 | +6.5 | +6.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida +6.5
Florida State, ranked fourth, continued their unbeaten streak with a victory against FCS North Alabama last Saturday. However, they fell short of covering the 48-point spread in a 58-13 win. On the other hand, Florida faced defeat against the now tenth-ranked Missouri, losing 33-31 on Saturday.
This marked the Gators’ fourth consecutive loss. Notably, FSU is now Florida’s third consecutive opponent ranked in the top tier.
While I have Florida State to come out on top, I’d recommend going with the moneyline. This game could turn out to be closer than anticipated, but I do see Florida State securing the win against Florida. Florida State has been dealing with turnovers in their passing game so far this year.
My point spread pick is to take Florida to cover the spread at +6.5.
With an over/under of 51.5, our prediction is that this game will go over, resulting in a combined total of 52 points.
I’ve stumbled upon some college football betting trends that give me confidence in my picks this week. Florida State has struggled in November, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during this month. Meanwhile, Florida has been dominant at home, boasting a 5-1 SU record in their last 6 home games.
They’ve also excelled against ACC opponents, with a 5-1 SU record in their last 6 such matchups.
In terms of totals, it’s been a high-scoring affair for Florida. The total has gone OVER in each of their last 7 games, and it’s gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games against Florida State. On the other side, Florida State has seen the total go OVER in 10 of their last 14 games.
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Florida State Seminoles vs. Florida Gators NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
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"He really embodies that motto of just getting better everyday."
📽️ Senior Day: @S1ickSzn pic.twitter.com/cVwfWBTQFo
— Florida Gators Football (@GatorsFB) November 22, 2023
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