Free NCAA Pick: Florida State vs. Duke Odds
Looking for Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Seminoles taking on the Blue Devils on Friday, October 18th at the Wallace Wade Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida State Duke matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(1-5) Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils (5-1)
Date: Friday, October 18th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida State +3.5 | Duke -3.5
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida State +139 | Duke -167
College Football Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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Get ready for an electric Week 8 showdown as Florida State takes on Duke in a clash that’s bound to have NCAA bettors on the edge of their seats. Historically, Duke has struggled against Florida State, losing all 22 meetings since the series began in 1992. But this year, the Blue Devils are rolling with a 5-1 record, while the Seminoles are scrapping with a 1-5 start, yet still hungry to prove something.
Duke has squeaked out tight wins over Northwestern and North Carolina, but their sole stumble against Georgia Tech shows they’re not invincible. Florida State, despite their rough start, has covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 road games, and if there’s one thing bettors know—this team shows up when the odds are stacked.
ESPN2 will be covering this week eight matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and the Florida State Seminoles, which is set to kick off at 7:00 ET from Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham.
Duke is the -3.5 point favorite at home, and the over/under line is currently at 42.5 points.
Duke comes in with a 5-1 record, while Florida State is looking to improve on their 1-5 start to the season.
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State enters Week 8 against Duke with a 1-5 record and a 67th-place spot in our power rankings. They have just a 1.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, the Seminoles are 0-2, while they’ve gone 1-3 at home this season.
Florida State has been favored in four of their six games, going 1-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -10.5 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread, with a 2-2 ATS record at home.
The Seminoles’ over/under record stands at 1-5, with their games averaging 40.2 points. This week’s line is 42.5 points, and their average over/under line has been 49.8 points this season.
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Florida State Seminoles Stats
Florida State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.8 points per game, which ranks 95th in the nation. They are 109th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Their third-down conversion rate is 28.9%, and they are 129th in rushing, with only 66.7 yards per game.
DJ Uiagalelei leads the passing game with 1,065 yards, but he has thrown six interceptions compared to four touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 67. Florida State is 34th in passing attempts, averaging 33.5 per game. Ja’Khi Douglas has 306 receiving yards and two touchdowns this season.
Florida State’s defense struggled in their recent game against Clemson, allowing 29 points in a 29-13 loss. They gave up 571 total yards, including 343 passing yards and four passing touchdowns. Clemson also rushed for 228 yards on 40 carries.
On the season, Florida State’s defense is allowing 25.3 points per game. Opponents are averaging 219.3 passing yards per game and 189.5 rushing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 64% of their passes against the Seminoles.
Duke Blue Devils
Duke enters Week 8 against Florida State with a 5-1 record, but their chances of winning the Atlantic Coast are slim at 0.3%. However, they have a 96.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. Duke is 2-0 at home this season and ranks 63rd in our power rankings.
The Blue Devils have a +8.8 average scoring margin and are 2-1-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 1-0-1 as the underdog.
Duke’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 43.8 points. Their average over/under line is 48.9 points, and this week’s line is set at 42.5 points.
Duke Blue Devils Stats
Duke’s offense has been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 26th in passing attempts per game. They are averaging 239.7 passing yards per game, placing them 58th nationally, and they are also 58th in points scored, with 26.3 per game. Quarterback Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,431 yards and 14 touchdowns, with five interceptions, and he has a passer rating of 93.
Star Thomas leads the rushing attack with 528 yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Duke is 108th in rushing yards per game, with 116.2. Jordan Moore has 443 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Duke is ranked 98th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8.
Despite ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 17.5 points per game, Duke’s defense struggled in their recent matchup against Georgia Tech, giving up 24 points in a 24-14 loss. The Blue Devils allowed 505 total yards, including 371 rushing yards on 48 attempts, while holding Georgia Tech to 134 passing yards.
Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 73.6 against Duke, averaging 157.7 passing yards per game, the 16th-lowest mark in the country. On the ground, Duke’s defense is allowing 152 rushing yards per game, ranking 93rd nationally.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Florida State Seminoles are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Duke Blue Devils are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Florida State Seminoles are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Duke Blue Devils have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Florida State Seminoles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Duke Blue Devils’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida State +3.5
With the line sitting at Duke -3.5 and the total at 42.5, the spread feels just tight enough to make this game worth a second look for value seekers. Don’t sleep on the Seminoles; history says they own Duke, and while the Blue Devils are playing well, Florida State has been an ATS warrior on the road.
Florida State is coming into this game as the +3.5 point underdogs, but we are projecting them to win straight-up with a final score of 28-20. For this week 8 matchup, we recommend taking Florida State to cover the spread.
With the over/under line set at 42.5 points, our projection of 47 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best play.
Will Duke break the curse, or is FSU ready to light up the board under the Friday night lights? Either way, Week 8 is about to get spicy!
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Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Almost that time 😈 pic.twitter.com/chOB9fsbEH
— Duke Football (@DukeFOOTBALL) October 16, 2024
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