Free NCAA Pick: Florida State vs. Clemson Odds
Looking for Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigers free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Seminoles taking on the Tigers on Saturday, September 23rd at the Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida State Clemson matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(3-0) Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigers (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida State -1.5 | Clemson +1.5
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida State -125 | Clemson +102
College Football Betting Total: O/U 55
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#3 Florida State (3-0) heads to Death Valley to face #23 Clemson (2-1) this Saturday at noon ET on ABC. The point spread favors Florida State at -2.5, with Clemson at +2.5. Clemson’s moneyline stands at +110, while FSU’s is -135. The Over/Under is set at 56.0.
This matchup carries significant season implications.
For expert insights, keep an eye on our NCAA football handicapping blog!
In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Clemson picked up the 34-28 win (last year). When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, Clemson ran for 167 yards while throwing for 203.
As for Florida State, they finished with 254 while running for 206.
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Florida State Seminoles
Florida State is coming off a 31-29 in their previous game vs. Boston College. If they have a lead this week, they will look to do a better job closing out the game, as Boston College cut into their fourth quarter lead.
When looking at Florida State’s performance vs. the spread, they have covered in every game so far. Through three games, they have been the underdog one time and the favorite one time.
So far in this season, Florida State has posted an over/under record of 2-0. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 69.3 points, with the typical over/under line set at 55.5 points.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Clemson, the Seminoles’ offense is averaging 189.7 rushing yards per game, along with 5 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 38th rank in rushing yards and 38th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 273 yards per game.
In terms of scoring, Florida State is at 47.3 points per game, which is 8th in the NCAA.
Defensively, the Seminoles enter the game with eight sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 22 points per game thus far this season (42nd). In terms of pass defense, they’re 137th in the NCAA, giving up 268.3 passing yards per game.
Against the run, Florida State has allowed 123 rushing yards per contest thus far.
Through the air, the Seminoles’ attempted 24 passes against Boston College, gaining 212 yards and securing two scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 3.8 yards per carry, resulting in two rushing touchdowns.
Clemson Tigers
Fueling Clemson’s most recent 48-14 win over Florida Atlantic was a strong first quarter. In the game, they were up 20-0 after the opening quarter.
Even though Clemson has been the underdog in all of their games, they are still a perfect 2-0 against the spread. The team’s scoring differential for the season is currently +20 points per game.
Clemson has an over/under record of 1-1 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 60 points with the average over/under line being 53 points.
Clemson Tigers Stats
Clemson enters the game on offense with an average of 40.3, ranking them 18th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 40th in the nation, with an average of 272.7 passing yards per game.
On the ground, they’re at 19th in rushing yards, with an average of 115 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Tigers’ ended with 33 pass attempts vs Florida Atlantic, racking up 204 yards and three scores. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.9 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.
The Tigers’ defense has allowed 98 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 153rd. Opponents are averaging 148.7 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 46.2 against Clemson.
They currently rank 49th in points allowed in the NCAA.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Seminoles are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Seminoles are 7-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Seminoles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-2.
- The Tigers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Florida State vs. Clemson Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Seminoles | -119 | -123 | -1 | -1.5 |
Tigers | -104 | +101 | +1 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida State -1.5
In this game, I’m backing Florida State to come away with the win and cover the spread. They hold the advantage in the passing game compared to Clemson.
This will be one of the games of the year and I’m expecting it to come down to the final drive. We wouldn’t have it any other way would we?
This is a giant step up in competition for Clemson after playing Charleston and FAU. I’m not sure they’ll have the intensity needed to match FSU blow for blow.
FSU took an axe to LSU in Week 1, and know what a big game is all about.
My pick for the spread in this matchup is Florida State at -1.5. (They’re 13-6 ATS in their L19 and 9-0 in their L9)
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Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
First night game in Death Valley was something special 🐅 pic.twitter.com/MwYT4M4JKN
— Clemson Football (@ClemsonFB) September 19, 2023
OH MY @ATXLETE 🤯 pic.twitter.com/ifc8AhzyEq
— Clemson Football (@ClemsonFB) September 19, 2023
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