Free Week 5 Prediction: Gators vs Commodores Odds
Looking for Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores free picks? Week 5 College football betting sees the Gators taking on the Commodores Saturday, October 1st at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long, so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(3-1) Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2)
Date: Saturday, October 1st
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
NCAA Football Spread: Florida -10
NCAA Betting Total: OFF
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Shell-shocked following a second-half meltdown vs. Tennessee, Florida enters hostile territory opposite Vanderbilt this Saturday.
The Commodores seek to exploit an anxious Florida defense, and vulnerable QB, while earning back-to-back victories.
On paper, the Gators are comfortable ten point favorites.
However, the momentum and intangibles heading into Saturday’s SEC East clash seem to support Vanderbilt’s cause. Last week, Florida’s vaunted defensive unit surrendered 38-consecutive points to Tennessee.
In total, the #23-ranked Gators witnessed a three-touchdown advantage vanish to their bitter SEC rival.
On the other hand, feisty Vanderbilt bucked the odds by ousting favored Western Kentucky in an overtime thriller, 31-30.
Backup QB Austin Appleby occupies the starting reigns while Luke Del Rio convalesces from injury. Throughout his UF tenure, Appleby has provided performances apropos of his backup status.
At Tennessee, Appleby briefly defied those expectations amid a stellar first-half showing before regressing to the mean in the game’s final 30 minutes.
Appleby’s second-half struggles no doubt had a correlative effect on his teams’ sudden defensive decline.
Florida’s maligned secondary and defensive line will do everything possible to make life rough for Vanderbilt’s Kyle Shurmur. For the moment, UF’s collapse can be considered an anomaly.
However, if the Gators’ execution doesn’t tighten this week, their pratfall will become a trend.
Junior running back Ralph Webb sliced the WKU defense for three touchdowns on 27 carries last week.
In addition, Sophomore QB Kyle Shurmur offered a steady, if not spectacular, line of 18-of-29 passing, 279 yards, and a 1/1 TD/Int. ratio.
In the waning moments of Vanderbilt’s victory over Western Kentucky, the defense reigned supreme, thwarting what would’ve served as WKU’s game-winning two-point conversion.
While Shurmur has struggled this season, he evened Vandy’s record with clutch late-game heroics.
The talented Sophomore spearheaded a magnificent 75-yard, seven-play drive in the contest’s final 1:02 to force overtime.
Though the Commodores surrendered 501 yards of offense to WKU, they showed exceptional grit to earn the win.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Florida is 1-3 ATS this season.
- Vandy is 2-2 ATS this season.
- Florida’s point differential is -plus 19.25 on the season.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Prediction
While this game could be closer than expected, Florida will likely regain their momentum lost at Tennessee. The Gators field the superior team while boasting a greater resume.
A confident Vanderbilt squad will start fast, however, Florida’s quality will eventually wear down the Commodores.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Florida -10
As the thick of SEC play begins, the conference’s teams are showing tell-tale signs of where they may be come season’s end. Florida figures to finish at a higher rung than Vanderbilt. This Saturday’s contest will prove it.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: Florida 37 – Vanderbilt 14
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