Free Week 7 Prediction: Gators vs. Commodores Odds
Looking for Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores free picks? Week 7 betting sees the Gators taking on the Commodores on Saturday October 13th at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Florida Vanderbilt free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 7
(5-1) Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-3)
Date: Saturday, October 13 2018
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
NCAA Football Spread: Gators -7
NCAA Betting Total: 51
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This has all the hallmarks of a letdown game for the Gators. They are coming off a big win at home and now they are on the road against a feisty opponent. For the sake of their fans and the general health of the game I really hope they don’t backslide.
The Commodores have been showing their level in the early part of the season. Any time they come up against some real competition they get smacked down though they did play Notre Dame tough. They can be competitive in this one if Florida lets them.
Beating LSU last week does not suddenly make the Gators a contender in the SEC East but it does show that the potential of this group. They are probably not going to develop a smooth offense but they can make big plays and play great defense. That combo can win you some games.
Felipe Franks is never going to be a precision quarterback but this offense can have some success because they are often in great field position and can run the ball. If the program is going to get back to being elite they need Franks to improve or someone else to emerge.
The Florida defense is 8th in points allowed and 6th against the pass. They are a little softer against the run but when they know you are going to throw the ball they can put so much athleticism on the field they can really force the action and create negative plays.
After the first couple of weeks, wins over Middle Tennessee and Nevada, it looked like this was going to be a solid season for the Commodores. Per the intro they hung with Notre Dame in a loss but since then their only win is against an FCS opponent and they just got beat up by Georgia. That could linger too because the Dawgs are pretty physical.
In Kyle Shurmur the Commodores have an experience quarterback to try and grab the upset. His best game was against a sharp Notre Dame team and last season he threw for three TDs against the Gators in a loss. He can outplay Franks but it might not be enough.
Vanderbilt is not a great defensive team but they have succeeded in not giving up many points. They have a good chance of keeping this a low scoring game and driving late. It is going to be very physical though and they can’t back down.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 18-6 in FLA last 24 games as a favorite.
- VAN are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
- Over is 9-3 in VAN last 12 conference games.
- Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
Free Week 7 NCAA Football Pick
This line is interesting. I think it says that even though Florida is coming off the big win that people are still not sold on the Gators actually being good. It looks like a buying opportunity to me.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Florida -7
I feel like there might still be a lingering effect to the Gators loss against Kentucky earlier in the season. It kind of showed that the team that the Gators used to stomp all over just aren’t afraid of Florida the way they were in the past.
I think it is helpful to the Commodores that they have a veteran decision maker in the pivot but other than that I don’t see many advantages for Vanderbilt. Even if the game is a grinder the Gators should win by two scores.
Week 7 Free Score Prediction: Florida 31 – Vanderbilt 16
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