Free NCAA Pick: Florida vs. Tennessee Odds
Looking for Florida Gators vs. Tennessee Volunteers free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Gators taking on the Volunteers on Saturday, October 12th at the Neyland Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida Tennessee matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(3-2) Florida Gators vs. Tennessee Volunteers (4-1)
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida +15.5 | Tennessee -15.5
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida +496 | Tennessee -719
College Football Betting Total: O/U 54.5
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ESPN is set to broadcast the week seven matchup between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Florida Gators, with kickoff scheduled for 7:00 ET. The game will be played at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, where the Volunteers are the heavy -15.5 point favorites. The over/under line is currently at 54.5 points. Tennessee comes in with a 4-1 record, while Florida is 3-2 on the season.
Florida Gators
Florida heads into Week 7 with a 3-2 record, but their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are at just 31.7%. They are 1-2 on the road and rank 36th in our CFB power rankings. The Gators have been favored in only one game this season.
Florida’s ATS record stands at 2-2, with a +5.8 average scoring margin. They are 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 1-2 at home against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points, close to their season average of 54.6. Florida’s over/under record is 3-1, with an average margin of +0.6 points.
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Florida Gators Stats
Heading into week 7, Florida’s offense is averaging 30.2 points per game, placing them 46th nationally. They are ranked 30th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 37th in completions and 46th in passing yards, with 268.6 yards per game. They have the 3rd best completion percentage in the country at 73.5% and are 24th in passer rating.
DJ Lagway has thrown for 667 yards, with a passer rating of 111. He has four touchdowns and three interceptions. Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the rushing attack with 288 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Elijhah Badger has 346 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 17 catches.
Florida’s defense is allowing 24.4 points per game this season, ranking 43rd nationally. In their recent game against UCF, they gave up just 13 points, allowing 273 total yards, including 108 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 165 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Opponents have averaged 172.8 rushing yards per game against Florida, placing them 123rd in the nation. The Gators have also allowed 222.4 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 63.4% of their throws and posting a passer rating of 97.6, which ranks 128th nationally.
Tennessee Volunteers
Tennessee enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, ranking 6th in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 6.7% chance of winning the Southeastern. The Volunteers also have the 11th best odds of making the playoff at 47.5%.
So far, Tennessee is 1-0 at home and 2-1 on the road, with a +36.6 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in four of their five games and have a 3-1 record against the spread.
Their over/under record is 2-2, with an average line of 58.9 points. This week’s line is 54.5 points, and their games have averaged 55.4 points per contest.
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
Tennessee’s offense has been driven by their ground game, ranking 9th nationally with 270 rushing yards per game. They are 12th in rushing attempts, averaging 46 per game. Dylan Sampson leads the team with 589 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. Tennessee is 4th in scoring, putting up 46 points per game, and they are 22nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.
Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,048 yards, with a passer rating of 107. Tennessee ranks 55th in passing attempts and 59th in passing yards. Iamaleava has 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, completing 66.4% of his passes. Tennessee ranks 22nd in third-down conversions, with a 48.1% success rate. Dont’e Thornton Jr. leads the receivers with 284 yards and 3 touchdowns on 8 catches.
Despite their 19-14 loss to Arkansas, Tennessee’s defense allowed just 19 points, though they gave up 436 total yards, including 297 passing yards. They also allowed 139 rushing yards on 43 attempts and forced no turnovers.
On the season, Tennessee ranks 4th nationally, allowing just 9.4 points per game. They are 8th in rushing yards allowed, giving up only 81.4 yards per game, and 20th in passing yards allowed, at 159.6 yards per game.
Florida Gators vs. Tennessee Volunteers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Florida Gators are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tennessee Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Florida Gators are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tennessee Volunteers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Florida Gators’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Tennessee Volunteers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida +15.5
Our projections have Tennessee winning this matchup 35-24, but with Florida coming in as +15.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread. The Gators are the road underdogs, but this point spread is too large, and we see Florida keeping it close.
For the over/under, with the line set at 54.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 59 points, so taking the OVER is the best play for this over/under line.
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