Free NCAA Pick: Florida vs. Missouri Odds
Looking for Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Gators taking on the Tigers on Saturday, November 18th at the Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida Missouri matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(5-5) Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers (8-2)
Date: Saturday, November 18th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
NCAA Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida +10.5 | Missouri -10.5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida +317 | Missouri -432
College Football Betting Total: O/U 59.5
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Florida will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 24-17 win over Missouri.
Florida will hope to run the ball well once again as the last time they faced up they put up 231 yards on the ground.
As for Missouri they finished with 370 yards of total offense compared to Florida at 297.
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Florida Gators
This week, Florida will be looking for another big game from their offense, but some better defensive play as they most recently loss to LSU 52-35.
So far, Florida has been favored two times and the underdog in six games.
This has led to an ATS record of 3-5 and an average scoring differential of +2.1.
Through 10 games, the average over/under line in Florida’s games is 51 points.
Their games have averaged a combined 56.9 points leading to an OU record of 5-3.
Florida Gators Stats
The Gators’ offense is set to face Missouri while averaging 144.8 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 82nd for rushing yards and 29th for passing yards, with an average of 276.1 yards per matchup.
Overall, Florida is putting up 29.5 points per game, which is 44th nationally.
Florida’s defense sits at 108th for points allowed, allowing 27.4 points per game.
So far, teams have been averaging 225.5 passing yards per game against them (88th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 162.2 rushing yards, ranking them 108th in college football.
In the passing game, the Gators threw the ball 38 times for 311 and one score against LSU. On the ground, they averaged 4.3 yards per carry and finished with four rushing touchdowns
Missouri Tigers
Most recently, Missouri faced off with Tennessee and picked up an easy 36-7 win.
Against the spread, Missouri has gone 7-2 this season. The Tigers have been favored four times compared to five games as the underdog.
Missouri has an over/under record of 5-4 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 55.1 points with the average over/under line being 54.2 points.
Missouri Tigers Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Florida, the Tigers’ offense is averaging 159.8 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 63rd rank in rushing yards and 24th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 283.9 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Missouri is at 32.8 points per game, which is 30th in the NCAA.
The Tigers’ passing game featured 24 pass attempts for 275 yards and one score vs. Tennessee. In the rushing department, they averaged 5.1 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
So far this season, the Tigers’ defense has given up 111 rushing yards per game against the run (180th). Opponents are averaging 233.2 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 93.4 against Missouri. In terms of points allowed, they are 68th in the NCAA.
Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Gators are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Gators are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Gators’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Tigers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Florida vs. Missouri Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gators | +360 | +317 | +10.5 | +10.5 |
Tigers | -470 | -432 | -10.5 | -10.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida +10.5
While I have Missouri to come out on top, I’d recommend going with the moneyline. This game could turn out to be closer than anticipated, but I do see Missouri securing the win against Florida.
The Missouri passing game has faced issues with turnovers. As the underdogs away, my pick is Florida to cover the spread at +10.5.
So far this season, Florida has an +6.0 average margin against their over/under lines. At 59.5, we have this game going over with a combined 71 points.
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Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Week 10 players of the game 🐯🏈#MIZ | #STP pic.twitter.com/TxwHBzmxWp
— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) November 13, 2023
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