Free NCAA Pick: Florida vs. LSU Odds
Looking for Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Gators taking on the Tigers on Saturday, November 11th at the Tiger Stadium (LA). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida LSU matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(5-4) Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers (6-3)
Date: Saturday, November 11th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA
NCAA Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida +13.5 | LSU -13.5
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida +431 | LSU -607
College Football Betting Total: O/U 63.5
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This weekend, LSU is seeking to enhance its four-game winning streak against Florida, a rivalry that spans nearly 86 years with no side willing to give in. The parallel records of 33 career wins each make Florida and LSU stand out.
In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, LSU picked up the 45-35 win (last year). LSU had a good game in the passing attack vs. Florida, putting 528 yards of offense with 349 yards through the air.
Florida ran for 210 while throwing for 185.
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Florida Gators
The Gators most recently faced off against Arkansas and lost by a score of 39-36. Florida couldn’t pull out the win, falling in overtime after ending the 4th quarter tied at 33-33.
Florida’s average scoring differential for the season is +4.2 leading to an ATS mark of 3-4. The Gators have been favored two times and the underdog in five games
So far this season, Florida boasts an over/under record of 4-3.
On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 53.6 points, while the average over/under line has been 49.1 points.
Florida Gators Stats
Florida’s offense is averaging 28.9 points per game, which ranks them 49th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 272.2 passing yards on average, putting them at 34th in the nation.
Their rushing attack is currently 84th in rushing yards, with an average of 292 rushing attempts per game this season.
Looking at this week’s game, the Florida defense stands at 91st in points allowed, permitting 24.7 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 209.2 passing yards per game against them (71st).
On the ground, they’re conceding 143.6 rushing yards, ranking them 80th in college football.
Through the air, the Gators’ attempted 42 passes against Arkansas, gaining 282 yards and securing three scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 4.0 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
LSU Tigers
LSU will be looking to rebound from a 42-28 loss to Alabama in their most recent game. The Tigers fell behind early, trailing by -7 after the first quarter.
So far, LSU has been favored seven times and the underdog in one game.
This has led to an ATS record of 4-4 and an average scoring differential of +17.
So far this season, LSU boasts an over/under record of 8-0. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 73.4 points, while the average over/under line has been 59.8 points.
LSU Tigers Stats
LSU’s offense is averaging 45.2 points per game, which ranks them 3rd in the NCAA.
Through the air, they’re at 332.4 passing yards on average, putting them at 4th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 10th in rushing yards, with an average of 317 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Tigers’ finished with 34 pass attempts vs. Alabama, accumulating 272 yards and two scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 8.6 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
The Tigers defense comes into the game with 16 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries.
In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 28.2 points per game (107th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 112th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 236.3 passing yards per game.
LSU’s run defense comes in allowing 172.8 rushing yards per contest.
Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Gators are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Gators are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Gators’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Tigers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Florida vs. LSU Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gators | +375 | +431 | +13 | +13.5 |
Tigers | -590 | -607 | -13 | -13.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: LSU -13.5
Here’s the latest on Jayden Daniels. He’s working through the concussion protocol, but he was seen on the sidelines yesterday at practice. (Tuesday)
I’m going to assume it’s going to be Nussmeier starting at QB, and my ATS pick reflects this. For the point spread, I’m backing LSU -13.5.
If you’ve followed LSU closely this year you’d know that while Daniels and Nuss aren’t the same statistically the Coaches at LSU treat them both as if they’re the same guy. Nuss can call every play that Daniels can. They’ll run the same offense. I feel safe with this pick.
LSU are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games, and 5-1 SU in their last 6 when playing at home against Florida. On the other side, Florida are 2-9 SU in their last 11 on the road.
Make your bet now on LSU -13.5.
I’m leaning OVER the total.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU’s last 5 against Florida, PLUS the total as hit the OVER in ALL of LSU’s last 10 matchups.
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Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Goosebumps!
Saturday Night At Home pic.twitter.com/luw3e1Gmsp
— LSU Football (@LSUfootball) November 8, 2023
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