Free NCAA Football Prediction: Florida Atlantic vs. Purdue Odds
Looking for Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Purdue Boilermakers free picks? College football betting sees the Owls taking on the Boilermakers on Saturday, September 24, 2022, at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, IN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Owls Boilermakers free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (0-2)
Date: Saturday, September 24, 2022
Time: 7:30 pm EST
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Owls +20 / Boilermakers -20 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Florida Atlantic +800 / Purdue -1190
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 61.5
Week 4 college football sees the Owls and Boilermakers meeting at the Ross-Ade Stadium on Saturday night.
The Boilermakers are favorites by -20 points in this Non Conference matchup, and we have a total of 61.5 showing on the total that started up at 61.5.
Florida Atlantic Owls
The strength of the Owls is there offense which is ranked 56th on PFF and lead by QB N’Kosi Perry. He is a veteran QB that plays very well from a clean pocket with 120 QB rating while his under pressure rating is 46%. N’Kosi will not be shy going into West Lafayette having transferred from Miami earlier in his career.
He has a 10-2 TD to interception ratio on the year with 987 yards.
Florida Atlantic also have multiple running backs Zuberi Mobley (5.7 YPC) and Larry McCammon III (7.3 YPC) that will be able to help N’Kosi Perry and the offense continue to move the chains.
Johnny Ford came back last week after he rushed for over 800 yards in 2021. They will be able to make people miss in space as they have already accounted for 34 missed tackles forced in four games.
The Owls have 3 WR that have over 20 targets through there first 4 games they are Je’Quan Burton, LaJohntay Wester and Jahmal Edrine. LaJohntay Wester leads the team in receptions and yards with 20 catches for 239 yards.
But the latter may be the best WR with 14 catches for 206 in only 3 games. Burton will be the big play WR looking to stretch the field with 19.3 average depth of target.
The defense is struggling to start the year PFF has them rated as the 106th defense in the country. They are led by there Eddie Williams. He leads the team in tackles and tied for the team lead in sacks. They will need Morven Joseph to play well upfront and get after the Purdue QB.
They are 1-2 against the spread this year including a cover over Charlotte and a loss as a favorite against Ohio.
Purdue Boilermakers
The strength of Purdue is its offense which is ranked 35th on PFF and led by quarterback Aidan O’Connell. He is more of a pocket passer, he will look to extend plays to find open teammates down the field.
He has a 115.4 rating in a clean pocket and a 53 rating under pressure. Aidan O’Connell has an 8-1 TD to interception ratio on the year with 1,000 yards passing.
The Boilermakers will use multiple running backs in this matchup. They have 4 running backs with over 13 carries. They will look to see who has the hot hand and ride them. King Doerue is the leader in the backfield but he missed last weeks game and is questionable for this weeks matchup.
Which could leave Dylan Downing to harbor the workload.
The Boilermakers have Charlie Jones the Iowa transfer at WR he has 42 targets on the year more than doubling the next wideout. He has 32 catches for 476 yards and 5 TD’s this season. He will be a critical part of the game plan. Payne Durham is the next threat in the passing game the TE will lineup in the slot and on the line to try and create mismatches against the defense.
Purdue is ranked 84th on PFF on the defensive side of the ball. They are led by leading tackler and safety Sanoussi Kane, they will move him all of the field as he has recorded 47 snaps in the box and 50+ at safety.
Upfront they are led by Branson Deen who has 11 hurries and 3 QB hits with 1 sack on the year.
They are 0-2 against the spread this year with a tough loss at Syracuse in the final minute last week.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Florida Atlantic are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games.
- Florida Atlantic are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
- Florida Atlantic are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Saturday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic’s last 5 games.
- Purdue are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Saturday..
4* Free Owls vs. Boilermakers NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
I see all the value in the over. I think Purdue will come out highly motivated against a weak Florida Atlantic defense that will struggle stop Aidan O’ Connell and Charlie Jones. Florida Atlantic will be able to score a few touchdowns to help push this game over as they will be playing from behind the whole game.
4* Free Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Betting Pick: Over 61.5
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