Free NCAA Pick: Florida Atlantic vs. Michigan State Odds
Looking for Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Michigan State Spartans free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Owls taking on the Spartans on Friday, August 30th at the Spartan Stadium (MI). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Florida Atlantic Michigan State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Michigan State Spartans (0-0)
Date: Friday, August 30th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Spartan Stadium (MI), East Lansing, MI
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Florida Atlantic +13.5 | Michigan State -13.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Florida Atlantic +405 | Michigan State -553
College Football Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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Florida Atlantic Owls
Florida Atlantic is ranked 83rd in our pre-season power rankings, with an 80.9% chance of being bowl-eligible this season. Last year, the Owls finished with a 4-8 record, going 2-4 both at home and on the road. They were favored in six games and finished 2-4 in those matchups. As underdogs, they also went 2-4.
Currently, the odds for the Owls to win the American Athletic Conference are +2640, with an implied probability of 4%. Their chances of making it to the Conference final are set at +900 (10%), ranking 7th out of the 14 teams in the conference.
Florida Atlantic Owls Stats
Florida Atlantic’s offense, which averaged 23.8 points per game last season, struggled on third down, converting just 33.9% of their opportunities (105th in the country). The Owls also had difficulty establishing the run, finishing 109th in rushing yards per game with just 116.4 yards per contest. In the passing game, they averaged 215.5 yards per game, ranking 85th in the nation. The quarterback situation is uncertain, as Tyriq Starks, who threw for 35 yards last season, is the top returning QB, and Cam Fancher, who transferred from Marshall after throwing for 2162 yards and 11 touchdowns last season, is the top new addition.
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At running back, the Owls added CJ Campbell Jr. from Florida State, who rushed for 117 yards last season. The receiving corps is led by Marlyn Johnson, who had 495 receiving yards and four touchdowns last season. Overall, Florida Atlantic will be looking for significant improvement from their quarterbacks to boost their overall offensive production this season.
Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 25.5 points per game last season, ranking 37th in the country. They struggled against the pass, giving up 248.1 passing yards per game (139th), and opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 92. Against the run, the Owls allowed 149.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 83rd nationally. However, they did manage to keep opponents to a 36.1% 3rd down conversion rate, which was 17th best in the country last season.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State is coming off a season in which they went 4-8 overall. The Spartans were 1-4 on the road and 3-4 at home. They were favored in just two of their 12 games, going 1-1 as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog. This season, they are ranked 68th in our pre-season power rankings, with a 37.5% chance of being bowl-eligible.
However, our power rankings give them a 0% chance of winning the Big Ten. In the futures market, they are long shots at +19420 to win the conference, placing them 13th out of 18 teams and giving them just a 1% implied probability of winning the Big Ten title.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
Michigan State’s passing game was ranked 97th in the country last season, averaging 199.8 yards per game. Overall, the Spartans’ offense was 104th in the nation, scoring just 15.9 points per game. Their struggles were compounded by a weak running game, which averaged only 90.9 yards per game, ranking 121st in the country. The Spartans have added quarterback Aidan Chiles, who threw for 309 yards and four touchdowns last season at Oregon State.
Nate Carter returns as the top running back for Michigan State, after rushing for 792 yards last season. The Spartans have also brought in Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams from UMass, who ran for 1157 yards last season. Michigan State will be looking for improved production from their running backs to help bolster their overall offensive performance this season.
Michigan State’s defense finished last season ranked 57th in the country, giving up 28.3 points per game. They struggled against the pass, allowing 237.4 passing yards per game (118th), and their run defense was also a weakness, giving up 155.7 rushing yards per game (97th). Opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 138.8 against the Spartans last season.
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Florida Atlantic Owls are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Michigan State Spartans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Florida Atlantic Owls are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Michigan State Spartans have gone 4-4-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Florida Atlantic Owls’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Michigan State Spartans’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Michigan State -13.5
Michigan State is favored by -13.5 points in their week one matchup against Florida Atlantic. We have a projected final score of 28-14 in favor of the Spartans, making them a good bet to cover the spread.
With the over/under line set at 47.5 points, our projection of 42 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this game.
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Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
GAME WEEK IS FINALLY HERE!! pic.twitter.com/WEQiOqZbWV
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) August 26, 2024
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