Free Week 12 Prediction: Golden Panthers vs Owls Odds
Looking for FIU Golden Panthers vs. FAU Owls free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Golden Panthers taking on the Owls Saturday November 18th at FAU Football Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this FIU FAU free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(6-3) FIU Golden Panthers vs. FAU Owls (7-3)
Date: Saturday, November 18th
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: FAU Football Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida
NCAA Football Spread: FAU -14.5
NCAA Betting Total: 65.0
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Lane Kiffin and the FAU Owls continue to rip through Conference USA and now are faced with an in-state conference foe in FIU who has enjoyed a nice season as well.
FIU will hope to repeat something similar to last year’s 33-31 win over FAU but this team led by Kiffin is a much different challenge.
FIU Golden Panthers
FIU may have started to look ahead a bit last week to this game as before their loss to Old Dominion, this game had a trip to the conference title game on the line.
They now would not only need to pull off the upset this week to catch the Owls in the East division, they also would need to FAU to somehow drop their finale to 1-9 Charlotte.
Nevertheless, knocking off the Owls remains a tall task for the Golden Panthers. They have struggled to stop the run this season and that happens to be FAU’s biggest strength.
Another area they are struggling is protecting the football – which happens to play to another one of FAU’s strengths. FIU is turning the ball over 1.9 times per game (30th most in the FBS) while FAU is forcing 2.4 turnovers per game (7th most in the FBS).
Quarterback play from Alex McGough has been wildly inconsistent. He has thrown an interception in 6 of their 9 games this season but is completing 64 percent of his attempts.
FIU has been very strong defensively on third down – allowing just 34% of third down attempts to be successful. That being said, FAU’s offense faces the 30th fewest third downs per game in the FBS.
This game will come down to McGough and his ability to protect the football. The FIU offense can move at times and that could help them control the tempo and avoid FAU running all over them. But, McGough is prone to turnovers and FAU is prone to forcing them.
Obviously the Heisman conversation is usually focused around players who are experiencing the most team success as well as the most opportunities to impress in the spotlight.
But simply from a stats perspective, FAU tailback Devin Singletary is putting together one of the best seasons of all players in football.
He is first in the FBS with 22 rushing touchdowns, 5th in rushing yards with 1360, and 12th in yards per attempt (minimum 100 attempts) with 6.6.
He has been the driving force behind FAU’s offensive outburst and he is not quite getting the credit he deserves.
He is just a sophomore so the spotlight may find him at some point but he has scored a rushing touchdown in 9 straight games and has 100 plus rushing yards in 8 straight games.
Outside of Singletary, the offense has other weapons as well. 6 other players have combined to score 17 more rushing touchdowns. The passing game has been effective enough – 7.5 yards per attempt – but it hasn’t needed to be with this explosive rushing attack.
Defensively, they are creating turnovers which is bailed them out at times because they are bad on third down (allowing 47% conversion rate) and they don’t get after the quarterback (sacks on only 3.3% of dropbacks – 124th in the FBS).
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The over is 5-1 in FIU’s last 6 road games.
- FIU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against FAU.
- Over is 9-4-1 in FIU’s last 14 conference games.
- Over is 9-5 in FAU’s last 14 conference games.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
The FAU defense is very dependent on turnovers but outside of that, they are not a great unit. They also are very explosive on offense so they will do their share and some in getting this game to go over the total.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Over 65.0
It seems as if this FAU offense is getting better and better each week even as the target on their back gets bigger. They may cover this line as well but their defense’s reliance on turnovers makes the over a better play here.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: FAU 48 – FIU 28
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