Free NCAA Pick: East Carolina vs. Michigan Odds
Looking for East Carolina Pirates vs. Michigan Wolverines free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Pirates taking on the Wolverines on Saturday, September 2nd at the Michigan Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this East Carolina Michigan matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) East Carolina Pirates vs. Michigan Wolverines (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 2nd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Michigan Stadium
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: East Carolina +36.5 | Michigan -36.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: East Carolina +2000 | Michigan -10000
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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The previous three head-head to matchups have gone in favor of East Carolina with a record of 2-1. East Carolina and Michigan did not play last season. East Carolina also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 79 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
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East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina’s season ended in a 53-29 win over Coastal Carolina in the Ticketsmarter Birmingham Bowl. The team’s overall record for the season was 8-5. This included finishing 3-2 at home and 5-3 at home. In American Athletic action, they were 3-2.
East Carolina Pirates Stats
East Carolina is coming into the season needing to replace the production of Holton Ahlers who was the team’s leading passer. Last year he threw for 3715 passing yards on a passer rating of 106.
The East Carolina Pirates are looking for Marlon Gunn Jr. to build on last year’s production in the running game. Last year, he finished with 344 yards on the ground. Jaylen Johnson is the team’s top returning receiver after catching 26 for 340 last season.
Defensively, the Pirates allowed an average of 292.8 passing yards per game (175.0) and 112.5 rushing yards per contest, which was 27.0 in the NCAA. For the season, they were ranked 23rd in sacks (27) and quarterbacks put together a passer rating of 104.9 against the East Carolina defense. Overall, the Pirates gave up an average of 27.2 points per contest (112th).
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan capped last season with a 51-45 loss to TCU in the CFP Semifinal At The Vrbo Fiesta Bowl. The Wolverines’ overall record last season was 13-1, putting them 1st in the Big Ten – East. Against non-conference teams, Michigan went 7-1.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
At the quarterback position, the Wolverines are returning last year’s leading passer, J.J. McCarthy. Last year, he threw for 2719 yards and threw 22 touchdowns. Overall, he completed 64.6% of his passes and finished with a passer rating of 107.
The Michigan Wolverines are looking for Blake Corum to build on last year’s production in the running game. Last year, he finished with 1463 yards on the ground. Cornelius Johnson is the team’s top returning receiver after catching 32 for 499 last season.
When looking at how Michigan got after the quarterback last year, they were 10th in sacks and 28th in QB hurries. Overall, they allowed an average of 16.1 points per game, putting them 58th in the NCAA.
East Carolina Pirates vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Pirates are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Wolverines are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Pirates are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wolverines have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Pirates’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Wolverines’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
East Carolina vs. Michigan Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | +2000 | +2000 | +36.5 | +36.5 |
| Wolverines | -10000 | -10000 | -36.5 | -36.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Michigan -36.5
For the opening week, I don’t recommend getting too hung up on trends from last year. That’s why despite East Carolina finishing last season with an above .500 record vs. the spread, I like Michigan to cover at -36.5.
Strong lean OVER!
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East Carolina Pirates vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
GAME WEEK IS FINALLY HERE!#GoBlue pic.twitter.com/GHK1vW6XcP
— Michigan Football (@UMichFootball) August 28, 2023
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