Free NCAA Pick: Duke vs. North Carolina Odds
Looking for Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Blue Devils taking on the Tar Heels on Saturday, November 11th at the Kenan Memorial Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Duke North Carolina matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(6-3) Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (7-2)
Date: Saturday, November 11th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
NCAA Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Duke +10 | North Carolina -10
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: Duke +341 | North Carolina -465
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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Before placing your bets with your go-to offshore NCAA football sportsbook, consider taking a look at this college football matchup for some action.
In Chapel Hill, North Carolina, the Tar Heels host the Blue Devils on Saturday night for their home finale, as Duke strives to regain their winning form. The outcome of this game holds the key to a potential spot in the ACC championship game.
What was once merely a basketball rivalry has now grown into something much more. The prized Victory Bell is the traveling trophy presented to the winner of the annual football showdown. Their football rivalry dates back to 1888 and has been an annual tradition since 1922.
North Carolina will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 38-35 win over Duke. In the win, North Carolina ran for 156 yards and threw for 380.
On 3rd down, the Tar Heels went 8/13.
On the other side, Duke completed 20 of their 31 passes for 245 yards and ran for 297 yards.
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Duke Blue Devils
Even though the Blue Devils’ trailed by a score of 7-0 after the first quarter, Duke managed to come back and beat the Demon Deacons 24-21.
Against the spread, Duke has gone 4-4 this season.
The Blue Devils have been favored four times compared to four games as the underdog.
The average point total in Duke’s nine games is currently 41.3 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 4-4 for the Blue Devils.
Duke Blue Devils Stats
Duke’s offense is averaging 25.7 points per game, which ranks them 62nd in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 161.1 passing yards on average, putting them at 114th in the nation.
Their rushing attack is currently 36th in rushing yards, with an average of 307 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Blue Devils’ defense has allowed 150 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 119th. Opponents are averaging 179.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 73.3 against Duke.
They currently rank 91st in points allowed in the NCAA.
Offensively, the Blue Devils finished with two scores on the ground against Wake Forest while running for 183 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Duke scored one time and threw the ball 19 times for 86 yards.
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Campbell by a score of 59-7.
This season, North Carolina has a scoring margin of +15.8.
Their ATS record stands at 5-2 and they have been favored in all of their games.
This season, North Carolina has an over/under record of 3-3-1. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 62.4 points, with the typical over/under line being 57.9 points.
North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
On offense, the Tar Heels come in with the 30th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 319.7 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 21st in terms of attempts.
In the passing game, the Tar Heels threw the ball 28 times for 318 and five scores against Campbell.
On the ground, they averaged 8.4 yards per carry and finished with three rushing touchdowns
Coming into this week’s game, the North Carolina defense is 83rd in points allowed at 23.3 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 239.4 passing yards per game vs. the unit (122nd).
On the ground, they are giving up 153 rushing yards, putting them 98th in college football.
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Blue Devils are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tar Heels are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Blue Devils are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tar Heels have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Blue Devils’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Tar Heels’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Duke vs. North Carolina Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Blue Devils | +340 | +340 | +10 | +10 |
Tar Heels | -440 | -463 | -10 | -10 |
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: Duke +10
I’m liking Duke as 10-point underdogs to cover the spread for this matchup. I believe they’ll maintain their good form, so I’m betting on Duke before kickoff.
This one will go down to the wire.
My total play is OVER the 50.5. My model is forecasting around 55-60 points.
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Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Rivalry!
🐏 🆚 😈#CarolinaFootball 🏈 #UNCommon pic.twitter.com/owziU4dSmx
— Carolina Football (@UNCFootball) November 8, 2023
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