Free NCAA Pick: Duke vs. Miami Odds
Looking for Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Blue Devils taking on the Hurricanes on Saturday, November 2nd at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Duke Miami matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(6-2) Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes (8-0)
Date: Saturday, November 2nd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Duke +20.5 | Miami -20.5
Week 10 CFB Moneyline Odds: Duke +800 | Miami -1418
College Football Betting Total: O/U 54.5
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Get ready for a wild ACC showdown as the Blue Devils square off with the undefeated Hurricanes! Miami’s a force to be reckoned with at 4-0 in conference play, and history favors the Canes—they’ve claimed 15 of 20 matchups.
But don’t count out Duke just yet; they steamrolled Miami in their last face-off, a stunning 45-21 win at Hard Rock in 2022.
On Saturday, November 2nd, the Miami Hurricanes will host the Duke Blue Devils at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET, with the game being broadcast on ABC.
Miami comes in with an 8-0 record, and they are the heavy favorite at -20.5 points, while the over/under line is at 54.5 points.
Duke is 6-2 on the season.
With Miami riding high and Duke looking to pull another upset, this one’s got all the makings of a high-stakes thriller—expect fireworks on the field!
Duke Blue Devils
Duke enters Week 10 against Miami with a 6-2 record, but they have no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections. However, they are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible. The Blue Devils are ranked 60th in our power rankings.
Duke is 3-0 as the favorite this season and 1-1 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of +7.4 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 3-1-1, with a 2-1 mark at home and 1-0-1 on the road.
The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. Duke’s games have averaged 44.6 points, and their over/under record is 1-4, with an average line of 48.1 points.
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Duke Blue Devils Stats
Duke’s offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking 90th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 26 points per game, which places them 63rd nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is just 30.1%, ranking 116th in the country. On the ground, they are averaging 114 rushing yards per game.
Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,796 yards and 17 touchdowns, with five interceptions. Duke is 24th in passing attempts per game, averaging 225.4 yards per game. Murphy’s passer rating is 90, and Duke is 67th in completion percentage. Star Thomas leads the rushing attack with 681 yards, and Jordan Moore has 481 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Duke’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 21st nationally by allowing just 18.6 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the pass, giving up only 166.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 18th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 67.1 against Duke, completing 57.2% of their throws.
In their recent game, a 28-27 loss to SMU, Duke’s defense forced three interceptions but allowed 469 total yards, including 211 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 258 passing yards. This season, they’ve given up an average of 160.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 102nd nationally, while facing 41 rushing attempts per game, the 9th most in the country.
Miami Hurricanes
Miami enters Week 10 with an 8-0 record and a 51.6% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to our projections. They are also a lock to be bowl-eligible and have an 89.0% chance of making the CFB playoff. The Hurricanes are ranked 10th in our power rankings as they prepare to face Duke at home.
Miami has been favored in seven of their eight games this season, going 7-0 as the favorite. They have a +25.2 average scoring margin and are 4-3 against the spread. At home, they are 1-2 ATS, while on the road, they’ve covered three out of four games.
The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points, compared to their average line of 57 points. Miami’s over/under record is 5-1-1, with their games averaging 68.2 points per contest, and they’ve exceeded the total by an average of 11.7 points.
Miami Hurricanes Stats
Miami’s offense has been the most productive in college football this season, leading the nation with 46.8 points per game. They are also ranked 2nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their success has been driven by their passing game, as they are 2nd in the nation with 366.8 passing yards per game and 7th in completions, averaging 26.1 per game. They have converted 59.8% of their third-down attempts, the best mark in the country, and rank 10th in completion percentage at 69.2%.
Cam Ward has been the standout performer for Miami, throwing for 2,746 yards with 24 touchdowns and five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 120 and has completed 68% of his passes. Damien Martinez leads the rushing attack with 529 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Xavier Restrepo is the top receiver with 710 yards and six touchdowns on 43 catches.
Miami’s defense played a key role in their 36-14 win over Florida State, allowing just 14 points and 248 total yards. They held the Seminoles to 115 passing yards and 133 rushing yards on 28 carries, while forcing 14 first downs.
On the season, Miami ranks 14th nationally in rushing defense, giving up just 98.2 yards per game on 26.1 attempts, the 7th fewest in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 66.6 against Miami, completing 53.5% of their passes for an average of 201.8 yards per game.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Duke Blue Devils are 4-0-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Miami Hurricanes are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Duke Blue Devils are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Miami Hurricanes have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Duke Blue Devils’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Miami Hurricanes’ have an over/under record of 2-0-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 10 NCAA Betting Prediction: Miami -20.5
Miami is favored by -20.5 points in their week 10 matchup against Duke. We expect Miami to win comfortably, with a projected final score of 35-14 in their favor.
Given the over/under line of 54.5 points, our projection of 49 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play. Miami is likely to cover the spread, and the under is the best bet for the over/under.
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Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami Hurricanes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Week 10 Captains 🫡
🎟️: https://t.co/kGspfTzkcI#GoCanes pic.twitter.com/DuvTeuOXQe
— Miami Hurricanes Football (@CanesFootball) October 31, 2024
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