Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles 10/21/2023 Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction

Free NCAA Pick: Duke vs. Florida State Odds

Looking for Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Blue Devils taking on the Seminoles on Saturday, October 21st at the Doak Campbell Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Duke Florida State matchup.

2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8

(5-1) Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles (6-0)
Date: Saturday, October 21st
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
NCAA Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Duke +14 | Florida State -14
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: Duke +462 | Florida State -676
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49

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Get ready for Week 8 in NCAA football as the Duke Blue Devils (5-1, 4-2 ATS) face off against the Florida State Seminoles (6-0, 4-2 ATS). This showdown is happening on Saturday at 7:30 ET, live from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, FL, and will be broadcast on ABC.

Check out the betting lines for this game: Florida State is favored at -14, with Duke offering odds at +462 on the moneyline compared to Florida State’s -676. The total betting line is set at O/U 49.

History favors the Seminoles, who have an impressive 21-0 record against the Blue Devils. Florida State boasts a perfect 10-0 home record and an 11-0 road record. The last time these teams met in 2020, FSU secured a 56-35 victory.

Duke is currently ranked #16 in the nation, while FSU holds the #4 spot.

There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between Duke and Florida State last season.

Stick with Cappers Picks each week for free NCAA football gambling picks and gambling insight. Plus updated college football sportsbook betting odds, props, futures and more analysis.

Duke Blue Devils

Duke is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down NC State by a score of 24-3.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Florida State, the Blue Devils have been favored in three games and the underdog in two.

Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-1.

So far this season, Duke boasts an over/under record of 2-3. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 41 points, while the average over/under line has been 48.5 points.

Duke Blue Devils Stats

On the ground, the Blue Devils are 58th in college football at 211 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 197.8 (34th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 24.7 and have a per game average of 189.5. Overall, they are 48th in points (31.2 PPG).

So far this season, the Blue Devils’ defense has given up 133.8 rushing yards per game against the run (131st).

Opponents are averaging 164.7 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 61.7 against Duke. In terms of points allowed, they are 107th in the NCAA.

The Blue Devils’ finished with 12 pass attempts vs. NC State, accumulating 107 yards and two scores.

In the rushing game, they averaged 6.8 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.

Florida State Seminoles

Florida State is coming off a 41-3 win over Syracuse. The Seminoles set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 7-0 after the first quarter.

Florida State’s average scoring differential for the season is +23.8 leading to an ATS mark of 3-2.

The Seminoles have been favored four times and the underdog in one games

Through six games, the average over/under line in Florida State’s games is 53.4 points. Their games have averaged a combined 60.5 points leading to an OU record of 4-1.

Florida State Seminoles Stats

In the rushing game, the Seminoles are currently 72nd in college football with 191 attempts per game.

This has resulted in an average of 178.7 rushing yards per game, putting them 59th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 31.5 passes and 272 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 13th, averaging 42.2 points per game.

The Seminoles’ ended with 39 pass attempts vs Syracuse, racking up 344 yards and two scores.

In the rushing department, they averaged 5.8 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.

Florida State’s defense ranks 52nd in points allowed, with 18.3 points given up per game.

Teams have been averaging 221.5 passing yards against them (88th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 141.3 rushing yards, putting them 87th in college football.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAA Football Betting Trends

• The Blue Devils are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
• Conversely, the Seminoles are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
• Also, the Blue Devils are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Seminoles have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Blue Devils’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
• The Seminoles’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.

Duke vs. Florida State Line Movement

4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: Duke +14

59 points thru 6 games. It’s not easy to score a TD against these Blue Devils. This isn’t even their hoops team!

The Devils are a top team in the ACC this year in two major categories. They’re 6th and 1st in the following, Scoring offense (31 ppg) and defense (9.83 ppg).

Duke’s pass defense has some momentum after containing Syracuse’s passing attack in their last game. Even as 14 point underdogs at away, I’m backing them to cover against Florida State.

This is not the Duke from the past, this is a Duke team that will play hard for 60 minutes and they’ll do what they need to make a game of this. They’re 7-1 SU in their last 8 games, and 8-2 ATS in their L10.

52 is what my model has for the total points. So if you’re betting on the Over/Under look to get down on the OVER.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida State’s last 9 games, and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke’s last 5 on the road.

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Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day

Baller!

He’s electric no matter how he gets the ball@keoncoleman6 makes the AP Midseason All-American Team!#NoleFamily | #KeepCLIMBing pic.twitter.com/6Lptu58D9M

— FSU Football (@FSUFootball) October 18, 2023

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About Kyle Knecht

New to Cappers Picks but not new to the world of online sports gambling. Kyle Knecht is a lifelong sports fan from Jacksonville, Florida that has a passion for sports and sports betting. He has coached and played college sports for 10 years so he has seen sports from the inside and knows how it operates. After he got out of coaching he picked up sports betting and has found a true niche with watching games and analyzing their outcomes. He is looking to share his expertise and knowledge with others to help turn a profit in the sports betting world.

Filed Under: College Football