
Free NCAA Pick: Colorado State vs. Texas Odds
Looking for Colorado State Rams vs. Texas Longhorns free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Rams taking on the Longhorns on Saturday, August 31st at the Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Colorado State Texas matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Colorado State Rams vs. Texas Longhorns (0-0)
Date: Saturday, August 31st
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Colorado State +34 | Texas -34
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Colorado State +3166 | Texas -15000
College Football Betting Total: O/U 60
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Colorado State Rams
Colorado State is coming into the season with the 5th worst odds in the Mountain West to make it to the Mountain West Conference final at +400. This gives them an implied chance of 20%. The futures odds for the Rams to win the Mountain West are +1733, with an implied probability of 5%.
Last season, the Rams finished with a 5-7 record, going 4-2 at home and 1-5 on the road. As underdogs, they were 4-3, while going just 1-4 as the favorite. Heading into this season, they are 104th in our power rankings and have a 41.5% chance of being bowl-eligible.
Colorado State Rams Stats
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi returns as the top quarterback for the Colorado State Rams after throwing for 3,460 yards and 22 touchdowns last season. He ranked 78th in passer rating (86) and threw 18 interceptions. The Rams’ offense was 63rd in the nation in scoring, putting up 26.1 points per game. They were also 20th in passing yards per game, averaging 306.5 yards through the air, but struggled on the ground, finishing 120th in rushing yards per game.
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Justin Marshall, who rushed for 311 yards last season, is the top returning running back for the Rams. In the receiving corps, Tory Horton, who had 1,136 yards and eight touchdowns, is back for another season. Colorado State is looking to add Armani Winfield, a transfer from Baylor, to bolster their receiving options.
Colorado State’s defense allowed 29.6 points per game last season, ranking 63rd in the nation. They struggled against the run, giving up 166.7 rushing yards per game, which placed them 119th in college football. In the passing game, the Rams allowed 249.7 yards per game, placing them 141st nationally. Opposing quarterbacks completed 69.9% of their passes against them last year.
Texas Longhorns
Heading into this season, the Texas Longhorns are ranked 3rd in our pre-season power rankings after finishing last season with a 12-2 record. They were 7-0 at home and 5-2 on the road, and are currently given a 99.1% chance of being bowl-eligible this season. Our projections also give them a 24% chance of winning the Southeastern Conference and a 67.2% chance of making the college football playoffs.
The futures market has the Longhorns at +360 to win the Southeastern Conference, with an implied chance of 22%, and they are currently at +110 to make it to the Conference title game, giving them a 48% implied probability, which is the 2nd best among all teams in the Conference.
Texas Longhorns Stats
Quinn Ewers, who threw for 3,479 yards and 22 touchdowns last season, enters the year with the 3rd best odds to win the Heisman Trophy (+1112). Ewers completed 69% of his passes and threw just 6 interceptions, ending the season with a passer rating of 108.7. The Texas Longhorns offense was 11th in the country in scoring, averaging 35.8 points per game.
Last season, Texas was 11th in the country in scoring, averaging 35.8 points per game. The Longhorns were also 11th in rushing yards per game, averaging 188.9 yards per contest. Ewers threw for an average of 289.1 yards per game, and Texas was 7th in the country in passing yards per game. The Longhorns also ran the ball 37.3 times per game, which was 19th in the country.
Despite giving up 254.4 passing yards per game, the Texas Longhorns were 19th in the country in scoring defense last season, allowing just 18.9 points per game. Their rush defense was a strength, holding opponents to just 83 rushing yards per game, the 6th best mark in college football. However, their pass defense was a weakness, ranking 151st in the nation.
Colorado State Rams vs. Texas Longhorns NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Colorado State Rams are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Texas Longhorns are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Colorado State Rams are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Texas Longhorns have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Colorado State Rams’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Texas Longhorns’ have an over/under record of 1-1-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: CST +34
Our projection for the final score of this week one matchup between Texas and Colorado State is 42-10 in favor of Texas. With Texas being the heavy favorite at -34 points, we recommend taking Colorado State to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 60 points, we are projecting a combined score of 52 points. Therefore, we recommend taking the under as the best play for the over/under.
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