New Mexico Bowl Prediction: Chippewas vs. Aztecs Odds
Looking for Central Michigan Chippewas vs. San Diego State Aztecs free picks? New Mexico Bowl betting sees the Chippewas taking on the Aztecs on Saturday, December 21 at Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Central Michigan San Diego State New Mexico Bowl free pick.
College Football Handicapping: 2019 New Mexico Bowl
(8-5) Central Michigan Chippewas vs. San Diego State Aztecs (9-3)
Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019
Time: 2:00 pm EST
Venue: Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
NCAA Football Spread: San Diego State -3.5
NCAA Betting Total: 41
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
The Chippewas were a nice story this season. They unexpectedly found themselves in the MAC Championship Game and could have won it.
San Diego State was all about defense this year. I mean all about it. Sometimes it looked like they forgot you actually have to score to win.
I think the Aztecs are the better team but the way they play there is no reason to think this won’t be a game.
Central Michigan Chippewas
When the Chips lost 61-0 to Wisconsin in week 2 there was lots of reason to think that this was not going to be a good season in Mount Pleasant.
Since then they almost won at Miami and captured the MAC West Division, edging Western Michigan by a game. They had good offensive balance, 40th in nation running and throwing the football.
Quentin Dormady took a little while to find a home but he had a solid senior season. He is a big quarterback who can stand in there and doesn’t make many mistakes – just 6 interceptions.
The Central Michigan defense is pretty good. just 26ppg allowed (the same as they allowed in the championship game). They are a bit feast or famine though.
Given the Aztecs are not a dominant offense CMU should be in this game even if it struggles when it has the ball too.
San Diego State Aztecs
The Aztecs were a little more extreme in their defense first approach this season. They tied with Hawaii for the MWC West lead but lost on the tiebreaker (a 14-11) loss on the island. They gave up more than 20 points in a game just twice all season.
Usually they pair a strong defense with a super productive running game but they could not get that going this season. Juwan Washington saw his rushing totals cut in half this season. He is questionable.
Ryan Agnew is not asked to do much at quarterback and he succeeds in doing just that, not much. In half of their games he did not top even 200 yards passing.
It cannot be overstated how good the defense was this season. Whether it was against the MWC or out of conference (24 points allowed over three games) they gave up next to nothing. 5th in yards allowed and 4th in points on the season.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 4-0 in Chippewas last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Chippewas last 4 games as an underdog.
- Chippewas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
- Under is 5-0 in Aztecs last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Aztecs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Aztecs last 4 games as a favorite.
Free Week New Mexico Bowl NCAA Football Pick
Playing great defense is part scheme and part commitment. It is hard to maintain that in an exhibition game.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State -3.5
I expect this to be a close one and even if the Aztecs are a little loose they will stiffen when required. The offense gets some extra time to find a few things that work.
The key for CMU is to be patient and not force the action. If they do they could get down early and then it is game over.
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