Free NCAA Pick: California vs. Pittsburgh Odds
Looking for California Golden Bears vs. Pittsburgh Panthers free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Golden Bears taking on the Panthers on Saturday, October 12th at the Acrisure Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this California Pittsburgh matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(3-2) California Golden Bears vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (5-0)
Date: Saturday, October 12th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) California +3 | Pittsburgh -3
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: California +137 | Pittsburgh -165
College Football Betting Total: O/U 59.5
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ESPN will be covering the week seven matchup between the California Golden Bears and Pittsburgh Panthers, with kickoff set for 3:30 ET at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. The Panthers are the -3 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 59.5 points. California enters the game with a 3-2 record, while Pittsburgh is undefeated at 5-0.
California Golden Bears
California enters Week 7 against Pittsburgh with a 3-2 record, ranked 45th in our power rankings. They have a 91.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but just a 0.1% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. The Golden Bears are 1-1 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
California has a +8 average scoring margin and a 3-1 record against the spread. They are 2-0 ATS at home and have been favored in only one game this season, which they won.
The over/under line for this week is 59.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. California’s over/under record is 1-3, with an average line of 49.9 points and an average game total of 44 points.
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California Golden Bears Stats
Heading into week 7, California is averaging 26 points per game, placing them 63rd in the nation. Our offensive power rankings have them 74th. Their third-down conversion rate is low, at 36.1%, and they are 97th in rushing, with 132.2 yards per game.
Quarterback Fernando Mendoza has thrown for 1,177 yards, completing 64.8% of his passes. He has seven touchdowns and three interceptions, with a passer rating of 97. Leading receiver Nyziah Hunter has 185 yards and four touchdowns.
California’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 39 points in their recent 39-38 loss to Miami, where they gave up 576 total yards, including 437 passing yards. Despite the rough game, they forced one interception.
On the season, California ranks 20th nationally, allowing just 18 points per game. They’re 43rd in rushing yards allowed per game (117.2) and 105th in passing yards allowed (233.2), though opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 59.9, the 9th-lowest in the country.
Pittsburgh Panthers
The Pittsburgh Panthers enter Week 7 with a perfect 5-0 record, and they have a 99.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. However, they only have a 2.8% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections. Pittsburgh is ranked 32nd in our power rankings, and they are set to face California at home.
Pittsburgh has gone 2-0 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in two of their five games and have a +20.4 average scoring margin. Against the spread, the Panthers are 4-0, covering both at home and on the road.
Their over/under record stands at 2-2, with an average line of 60.6 points. Pittsburgh games have averaged 70.8 points per contest, and this week’s line is set at 59.5 points.
Pittsburgh Panthers Stats
Pittsburgh’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 11th in passing yards per game, with 340.4 yards. They are 17th in completions, averaging 24.8 per game, and 20th in attempts, with 38 per game. Eli Holstein has thrown for 1,567 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions, posting a passer rating of 116. Pittsburgh is 5th in scoring, with 45.6 points per game, and they are 24th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.
Holstein has completed 65.5% of his passes this season. Leading the receiving corps is Konata Mumpfield, who has 426 yards and three touchdowns on 23 receptions. Pittsburgh ranks 54th in rushing, with 182.8 yards per game. Desmond Reid leads the ground attack with 374 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, but has only one rushing touchdown.
Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 46th nationally. They’ve given up an average of 239.2 passing yards per game, which is 113th in the country, on 34.4 attempts per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 55.8% of their passes and have a passer rating of 84.1 against Pittsburgh.
In their recent game against North Carolina, Pittsburgh allowed 24 points but still secured a 34-24 win. The defense gave up 416 total yards, including 269 passing yards and 147 rushing yards on 35 attempts.
California Golden Bears vs. Pittsburgh Panthers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The California Golden Bears are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Pittsburgh Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the California Golden Bears are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Pittsburgh Panthers have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the California Golden Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Pittsburgh Panthers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: California +3
California is the +3 point road underdog in their week seven matchup against Pittsburgh, but we like the Bears to not only cover the spread but win the game outright. Our projected final score is 28-27 in favor of California.
With the over/under line set at 59.5 points, our projection of 55 combined points suggests that taking the under is the best play.
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