Free Week 1 Prediction: Bears vs Aztecs Odds
Looking for Cal Golden Bears vs. SDSU Aztecs free picks? Week 2 College football betting sees the Bears taking on the Aztecs Saturday September 10th at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(1-0) Cal Golden Bears vs. San Diego State Aztecs (1-0)
Date: Saturday, September 10th
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
NCAA Football Spread: Aztecs -7
NCAA Betting Total: OFF
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This may not look like it on the surface but this is a big game for San Diego State.
There is a very real chance that the Aztecs are undefeated this season and this is their only chance to take on a Power 5 team. To have any shot at the playoffs they not only have to win they have to show well.
They do not have the big games that a mid major like Houston has.
Cal should be recovered from its trip down under. They took care of business against Hawaii in Australia but SDSU is a much better team with an actual living and breathing defense.
Cal is not expected to challenge the upper echelon in the PAC 12 North but beating the Aztecs on the road would get some attention.
Cal Golden Bears
Davis Webb was one of the most highly sought transfer quarterbacks this offseason. After just one game it is easy to see why.
Sure you have to consider the competition but Webb looked fantastic while throwing for more than 400 yards against the Rainbows.
He seems to have found a favourite target in Chad Hansen who hauled in 14 passes – after grabbing just 19 last season. Even though Jared Goff is gone the passing game is notherwise going to miss a beat.
The running game looked good too leaving only the defense that did not get high marks in the opener.
They gave up 31 points to a team that might be the worst in the Mountain West this season, allowing the Rainbows to rush for close to 250 yards.
Defense is always the Achilles heel of the program and they have work to do there.
SDSU loves to run the ball so they better tighten things up.
SDSU handled their business in the opener, shutting out New Hampshire 31-0.
This team has one of the best defenses in the country and they dominated giving up less than 150 yards of offense.
They did what you are supposed to do when you play an FCS team and that will help them if they stay in the playoff conversation like I think they will. They are probably going to have to make statements every week.
On offense I don’t want to read too much into it but they go their passing game going against UNH.
Sophomore Christian Chapman looked sharp and Mikah Holder had one of the best receiving games anywhere with 160 yards and two touchdowns.
If the Aztecs are truly able to diversify their offense this season than putting up the gaudy number they will need may be in reach.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Golden Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Golden Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Golden Bears are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Aztecs are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Aztecs are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Free Week 1 NCAA Football Prediction
This line seems a little generous to the Bears. They have had some extra time to prepare but at the same time they might be out of rhythm. I am not buying that these teams would be just a field goal apart on a neutral field.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State -7
Even though they had success throwing the ball the Aztecs would prefer to shorten the game and play great defense to win.
They are not going to completely shutdown the Bears but they will show their defense is among the best anywhere, not just the best in the MWC.
Week 1 Free Score Prediction: San Diego State 34 – California 17
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